Graco - 10-Q quarterly report FY2016 Q3

Graco - 10-Q quarterly report FY2016 Q3

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UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 10-Q

Quarterly Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15 (d) of the

Securities Exchange Act of 1934

For the quarterly period ended September 23, 2016

Commission File Number: 001-09249

GRACO INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)



Minnesota		41-0285640
(State of incorporation)		(I.R.S. Employer Identification Number)



88 - 11th Avenue N.E. Minneapolis, Minnesota		55413
(Address of principal executive offices)		(Zip Code)

(612) 623-6000

(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.

Yes X No

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files).

Yes X No

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).

Yes No X

55,684,000 shares of the Registrant’s Common Stock, $1.00 par value, were outstanding as of October 12, 2016.

TABLE OF CONTENTS



			Page
PART I - FINANCIAL INFORMATION

	Item 1.	Financial Statements

		Consolidated Statements of Earnings	3

		Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income	3

		Consolidated Balance Sheets	4

		Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows	5

		Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements	6

	Item 2.	Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations	14

	Item 3.	Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk	19

	Item 4.	Controls and Procedures	19



PART II - OTHER INFORMATION

	Item 1A.	Risk Factors	20

	Item 2.	Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds	20

	Item 6.	Exhibits	21


SIGNATURES


EXHIBITS

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PART I Item 1.

GRACO INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF EARNINGS

(Unaudited) (In thousands except per share amounts)



	Three Months Ended					Nine Months Ended
	September 23, 2016		September 25, 2015			September 23, 2016			September 25, 2015
Net Sales	$	327,192	$	318,986		$	980,230		$	960,928
Cost of products sold	150,594		148,790			456,695			447,980
Gross Profit	176,598		170,196			523,535			512,948
Product development	14,671		14,783			44,964			44,980
Selling, marketing and distribution	49,269		48,374			158,106			149,924
General and administrative	31,194		30,112			99,710			91,995
Operating Earnings	81,464		76,927			220,755			226,049
Interest expense	4,432		4,025			13,468			13,453
Held separate investment (income), net	—		(2,388		)	—			(190,744		)
Other expense (income), net	416		1,389			(338		)	1,661
Earnings Before Income Taxes	76,616		73,901			207,625			401,679
Income taxes	22,228		23,210			62,738			109,510
Net Earnings	$	54,388	$	50,691		$	144,887		$	292,169
Per Common Share
Basic net earnings	$	0.98	$	0.88		$	2.61		$	5.02
Diluted net earnings	$	0.95	$	0.86		$	2.55		$	4.90
Cash dividends declared	$	0.33	$	0.30		$	0.99		$	0.90

See notes to consolidated financial statements.

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME

(Unaudited) (In thousands)



	Three Months Ended						Nine Months Ended
	September 23, 2016			September 25, 2015			September 23, 2016			September 25, 2015
Net Earnings	$	54,388		$	50,691		$	144,887		$	292,169
Components of other comprehensive income (loss)
Cumulative translation adjustment	(6,642		)	(13,572		)	(16,679		)	(4,179		)
Pension and postretirement medical liability adjustment	1,707			2,537			4,957			6,894
Income taxes - pension and postretirement medical liability adjustment	(619		)	(837		)	(1,823		)	(2,478		)
Other comprehensive income (loss)	(5,554		)	(11,872		)	(13,545		)	237
Comprehensive Income	$	48,834		$	38,819		$	131,342		$	292,406

See notes to consolidated financial statements.

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GRACO INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS

(Unaudited) (In thousands)



	September 23, 2016			December 25, 2015
ASSETS
Current Assets
Cash and cash equivalents	$	53,322		$	52,295
Accounts receivable, less allowances of $12,100 and $10,400	223,257			225,509
Inventories	201,553			202,136
Other current assets	20,111			29,077
Total current assets	498,243			509,017
Property, Plant and Equipment
Cost	487,496			461,173
Accumulated depreciation	(296,973		)	(282,736		)
Property, plant and equipment, net	190,523			178,437
Goodwill	411,594			394,488
Other Intangible Assets, net	233,947			227,987
Deferred Income Taxes	62,019			56,976
Other Assets	24,876			24,447
Total Assets	$	1,421,202		$	1,391,352
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY
Current Liabilities
Notes payable to banks	$	8,380		$	15,901
Trade accounts payable	40,951			40,505
Salaries and incentives	37,681			44,673
Dividends payable	18,381			18,447
Other current liabilities	71,829			75,090
Total current liabilities	177,222			194,616
Long-term Debt	355,780			392,695
Retirement Benefits and Deferred Compensation	141,094			137,457
Deferred Income Taxes	26,711			22,303
Other Non-current Liabilities	8,630			8,730
Shareholders’ Equity
Common stock	55,706			55,766
Additional paid-in-capital	440,823			398,774
Retained earnings	333,278			285,508
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)	(118,042		)	(104,497		)
Total shareholders’ equity	711,765			635,551
Total Liabilities and Shareholders’ Equity	$	1,421,202		$	1,391,352

See notes to consolidated financial statements.

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GRACO INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

(Unaudited) (In thousands)



	Nine Months Ended
	September 23, 2016			September 25, 2015
Cash Flows From Operating Activities
Net Earnings	$	144,887		$	292,169
Adjustments to reconcile net earnings to net cash provided by operating activities
Depreciation and amortization	36,846			33,286
Deferred income taxes	(8,470		)	(13,723		)
Share-based compensation	16,143			15,488
Excess tax benefit related to share-based payment arrangements	(5,800		)	(1,200		)
Gain on sale of business, net	—			(149,003		)
Change in
Accounts receivable	6,100			(21,195		)
Inventories	1,628			(28,648		)
Trade accounts payable	1,057			3,124
Salaries and incentives	(6,914		)	(2,759		)
Retirement benefits and deferred compensation	7,431			8,802
Other accrued liabilities	9,379			19,556
Other	(367		)	(20,665		)
Net cash provided by operating activities	201,920			135,232
Cash Flows From Investing Activities
Property, plant and equipment additions	(34,347		)	(28,860		)
Acquisition of businesses, net of cash acquired	(48,643		)	(187,853		)
Proceeds from sale of assets	—			610,162
Investment in restricted assets	150			(8,580		)
Other	(130		)	(43		)
Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities	(82,970		)	384,826
Cash Flows From Financing Activities
Borrowings (payments) on short-term lines of credit, net	(7,349		)	4,265
Borrowings on long-term line of credit	532,724			595,400
Payments on long-term line of credit	(569,639		)	(835,400		)
Excess tax benefit related to share-based payment arrangements	5,800			1,200
Common stock issued	25,564			16,768
Common stock repurchased	(48,050		)	(224,730		)
Cash dividends paid	(55,058		)	(52,658		)
Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities	(116,008		)	(495,155		)
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash	(1,915		)	3,354
Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents	1,027			28,257
Cash and cash equivalents
Beginning of year	52,295			23,656
End of period	$	53,322		$	51,913

See notes to consolidated financial statements.

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GRACO INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

(Unaudited)

1.Basis of Presentation

The consolidated balance sheet of Graco Inc. and Subsidiaries (the “Company”) as of September 23, 2016 and the related statements of earnings and comprehensive income for the three and nine months ended September 23, 2016 and September 25, 2015, and cash flows for the nine months ended September 23, 2016 and September 25, 2015 have been prepared by the Company and have not been audited.

In the opinion of management, these consolidated financial statements reflect all adjustments (consisting of only normal recurring adjustments) necessary to present fairly the financial position of the Company as of September 23, 2016, and the results of operations and cash flows for all periods presented.

Certain information and footnote disclosures normally included in financial statements prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles have been condensed or omitted. Therefore, these statements should be read in conjunction with the financial statements and notes thereto included in the Company’s 2015 Annual Report on Form 10-K.

The results of operations for interim periods are not necessarily indicative of results that will be realized for the full fiscal year.

2.Earnings per Share

The following table sets forth the computation of basic and diluted earnings per share (in thousands, except per share amounts):



	Three Months Ended				Nine Months Ended
	September 23, 2016		September 25, 2015		September 23, 2016		September 25, 2015
Net earnings available to common shareholders	$	54,388	$	50,691	$	144,887	$	292,169
Weighted average shares outstanding for basic earnings per share	55,684		57,325		55,571		58,180
Dilutive effect of stock options computed using the treasury stock method and the average market price	1,285		1,339		1,335		1,410
Weighted average shares outstanding for diluted earnings per share	56,969		58,664		56,906		59,590
Basic earnings per share	$	0.98	$	0.88	$	2.61	$	5.02
Diluted earnings per share	$	0.95	$	0.86	$	2.55	$	4.90

Stock options to purchase 1,034,000 and 1,391,000 shares were not included in the September 23, 2016 and September 25, 2015 computations of diluted earnings per share, respectively, because they would have been anti-dilutive.

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3.Share-Based Awards

Options on common shares granted and outstanding, as well as the weighted average exercise price, are shown below (in thousands, except exercise prices):



	Option Shares		Weighted Average Exercise Price		Options Exercisable	Weighted Average Exercise Price
Outstanding, December 25, 2015	5,165		$	48.16	3,583	$	38.49
Granted	700		72.24
Exercised	(600	)	37.98
Canceled	(17	)	70.45
Outstanding, September 23, 2016	5,248		$	52.46	3,494	$	42.30

The Company recognized year-to-date share-based compensation of $16.1 million in 2016 and $15.5 million in 2015. As of September 23, 2016, there was $9.5 million of unrecognized compensation cost related to unvested options, expected to be recognized over a weighted average period of 2.2 years.

The fair value of each option grant is estimated on the date of grant using the Black-Scholes option-pricing model with the following weighted average assumptions and results:



	Nine Months Ended
	September 23, 2016			September 25, 2015
Expected life in years	7.0			6.5
Interest rate	1.4		%	1.7		%
Volatility	30.1		%	35.0		%
Dividend yield	1.8		%	1.6		%
Weighted average fair value per share	$	19.00		$	23.18

Under the Company’s Employee Stock Purchase Plan, the Company issued 170,000 shares in 2016 and 166,000 shares in 2015. The fair value of the employees’ purchase rights under this Plan was estimated on the date of grant. The benefit of the 15 percent discount from the lesser of the fair market value per common share on the first day and the last day of the plan year was added to the fair value of the employees’ purchase rights determined using the Black-Scholes option-pricing model with the following assumptions and results:



	Nine Months Ended
	September 23, 2016			September 25, 2015
Expected life in years	1.0			1.0
Interest rate	0.7		%	0.2		%
Volatility	24.6		%	18.9		%
Dividend yield	1.7		%	1.6		%
Weighted average fair value per share	$	19.14		$	16.51

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4.Retirement Benefits

The components of net periodic benefit cost for retirement benefit plans were as follows (in thousands):



	Three Months Ended						Nine Months Ended
	September 23, 2016			September 25, 2015			September 23, 2016			September 25, 2015
Pension Benefits
Service cost	$	1,968		$	2,265		$	5,880		$	6,268
Interest cost	3,902			3,741			11,765			11,121
Expected return on assets	(4,504		)	(5,010		)	(13,509		)	(14,586		)
Amortization and other	2,491			2,291			7,410			7,070
Net periodic benefit cost	$	3,857		$	3,287		$	11,546		$	9,873



Postretirement Medical
Service cost	$	136		$	107		$	407		$	407
Interest cost	271			263			813			716
Amortization	(120		)	(63		)	(360		)	(265		)
Net periodic benefit cost	$	287		$	307		$	860		$	858

5.Shareholders’ Equity

Changes in components of accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax were (in thousands):



	Pension and Post- retirement Medical			Cumulative Translation Adjustment			Total
Balance, June 26, 2015	$	(73,868	)	$	(14,759	)	$	(88,627	)
Other comprehensive income before reclassifications	—			(13,572		)	(13,572		)
Amounts reclassified from accumulated other comprehensive income	1,700			—			1,700
Balance, September 25, 2015	$	(72,168	)	$	(28,331	)	$	(100,499	)



Balance, June 24, 2016	$	(67,876	)	$	(44,612	)	$	(112,488	)
Other comprehensive income before reclassifications	—			(6,642		)	(6,642		)
Amounts reclassified from accumulated other comprehensive income	1,088			—			1,088
Balance, September 23, 2016	$	(66,788	)	$	(51,254	)	$	(118,042	)



Balance, December 26, 2014	$	(76,584	)	$	(24,152	)	$	(100,736	)
Other comprehensive income before reclassifications	—			(4,179		)	(4,179		)
Reclassified from accumulated other comprehensive income	4,416			—			4,416
Balance, September 25, 2015	$	(72,168	)	$	(28,331	)	$	(100,499	)



Balance, December 25, 2015	$	(69,922	)	$	(34,575	)	$	(104,497	)
Other comprehensive income before reclassifications	—			(16,679		)	(16,679		)
Reclassified from accumulated other comprehensive income	3,134			—			3,134
Balance, September 23, 2016	$	(66,788	)	$	(51,254	)	$	(118,042	)

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Amounts related to pension and postretirement medical adjustments are reclassified to pension cost, which is allocated to cost of products sold and operating expenses based on salaries and wages, approximately as follows (in thousands):



	Three Months Ended						Nine Months Ended
	September 23, 2016			September 25, 2015			September 23, 2016			September 25, 2015
Cost of products sold	$	611		$	959		$	1,776		$	2,604
Product development	241			418			706			1,120
Selling, marketing and distribution	578			718			1,633			1,950
General and administrative	277			442			842			1,220
Total before tax	$	1,707		$	2,537		$	4,957		$	6,894
Income tax (benefit)	(619		)	(837		)	(1,823		)	(2,478		)
Total after tax	$	1,088		$	1,700		$	3,134		$	4,416


6.	Segment Information

The Company has three reportable segments, Industrial, Process and Contractor. Sales and operating earnings by segment were as follows (in thousands):



	Three Months Ended						Nine Months Ended
	September 23, 2016			September 25, 2015			September 23, 2016			September 25, 2015
Net Sales
Industrial	$	150,893		$	152,164		$	454,978		$	448,932
Process	67,077			64,710			196,068			204,337
Contractor	109,222			102,112			329,184			307,659
Total	$	327,192		$	318,986		$	980,230		$	960,928
Operating Earnings
Industrial	$	50,573		$	50,822		$	147,419		$	144,500
Process	10,394			10,437			25,305			34,923
Contractor	25,593			24,135			71,700			70,550
Unallocated corporate (expense)	(5,096		)	(8,467		)	(23,669		)	(23,924		)
Total	$	81,464		$	76,927		$	220,755		$	226,049

Assets by segment were as follows (in thousands):



	September 23, 2016		December 25, 2015
Industrial	$	558,228	$	558,799
Process	513,186		481,677
Contractor	212,958		205,632
Unallocated corporate	136,830		145,244
Total	$	1,421,202	$	1,391,352

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Geographic information follows (in thousands):



	Three Months Ended				Nine Months Ended
	September 23, 2016		September 25, 2015		September 23, 2016		September 25, 2015
Net sales (based on customer location)
United States	$	171,988	$	166,602	$	511,273	$	496,851
Other countries	155,204		152,384		468,957		464,077
Total	$	327,192	$	318,986	$	980,230	$	960,928



	September 23, 2016		December 25, 2015
Long-lived assets
United States	$	153,160	$	144,571
Other countries	37,363		33,866
Total	$	190,523	$	178,437

7.Inventories

Major components of inventories were as follows (in thousands):



	September 23, 2016			December 25, 2015
Finished products and components	$	112,949		$	112,267
Products and components in various stages of completion	51,064			51,033
Raw materials and purchased components	83,582			82,894
	247,595			246,194
Reduction to LIFO cost	(46,042		)	(44,058		)
Total	$	201,553		$	202,136

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8.Intangible Assets

Information related to other intangible assets follows (dollars in thousands):



	Estimated Life (years)	Cost		Accumulated Amortization			Foreign Currency Translation			Book Value
September 23, 2016
Customer relationships	3 - 14	$	218,227	$	(49,383	)	$	(12,316	)	$	156,528
Patents, proprietary technology and product documentation	3 - 11	17,422		(5,731		)	(705		)	10,986
Trademarks, trade names and other	3 - 5	895		(284		)	(58		)	553
		236,544		(55,398		)	(13,079		)	168,067
Not Subject to Amortization:
Brand names		70,528		—			(4,648		)	65,880
Total		$	307,072	$	(55,398	)	$	(17,727	)	$	233,947



December 25, 2015
Customer relationships	3 - 14	$	197,900	$	(36,852	)	$	(9,738	)	$	151,310
Patents, proprietary technology and product documentation	3 - 11	20,400		(8,952		)	(658		)	10,790
Trademarks, trade names and other	5	495		(132		)	(94		)	269
		218,795		(45,936		)	(10,490		)	162,369
Not Subject to Amortization:
Brand names		69,514		—			(3,896		)	65,618
Total		$	288,309	$	(45,936	)	$	(14,386	)	$	227,987

Amortization of intangibles for the quarter was $4.6 million in 2016 and $4.4 million in 2015 and for the year-to-date was $14.3 million in 2016 and $12.9 million in 2015. Estimated annual amortization expense is as follows: $18.7 million in 2016, $18.6 million in 2017, $18.5 million in 2018, $18.0 million in 2019, $17.9 million in 2020, and $90.7 million thereafter.

Changes in the carrying amount of goodwill in 2016 were as follows (in thousands):



	Industrial		Process			Contractor		Total
Balance, December 25, 2015	$	153,283	$	228,473		$	12,732	$	394,488
Additions from business acquisitions	—		27,881			—		27,881
Foreign currency translation	1,585		(12,360		)	—		(10,775		)
Balance, September 23, 2016	$	154,868	$	243,994		$	12,732	$	411,594

Goodwill is reviewed for impairment annually or more frequently if events or changes in circumstances indicate that the carrying value of the goodwill may not be recoverable. In completing the goodwill impairment analysis for 2015, the estimated fair value of all reporting units substantially exceeded carrying value except for our Oil and Natural Gas reporting unit (“ONG”), which exceeded its carrying value by 14 percent. In 2016, operating results of ONG have fallen short of expectations due to weakness in oil and natural gas markets. After considering third quarter operating results and preliminary projections from our 2017 planning process, we concluded that the depth and length of industry weakness, and its continuing impact on ONG results, were greater than previously expected. Consequently, we initiated an impairment analysis at the end of the third quarter. Preliminary analysis indicated potential impairment of ONG goodwill as of September 23, 2016. Due to the amount of time and effort required to determine the implied fair value of ONG goodwill, we are unable to provide a reasonable estimate or a range of estimates for the potential non-cash impairment charge at this time. The carrying value of ONG goodwill was $147 million and the carrying value of other identifiable intangible assets of ONG totaled $73 million as of September 23, 2016. The valuation to determine the amount of impairment will be completed in the fourth quarter.

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9.	Other Current Liabilities

Components of other current liabilities were (in thousands):



	September 23, 2016		December 25, 2015
Accrued self-insurance retentions	$	7,000	$	6,908
Accrued warranty and service liabilities	8,384		7,870
Accrued trade promotions	6,375		8,522
Payable for employee stock purchases	6,678		8,825
Customer advances and deferred revenue	13,577		9,449
Income taxes payable	3,581		1,308
Other	26,234		32,208
Total	$	71,829	$	75,090

A liability is established for estimated future warranty and service claims that relate to current and prior period sales. The Company estimates warranty costs based on historical claim experience and other factors including evaluating specific product warranty issues. Following is a summary of activity in accrued warranty and service liabilities (in thousands):



Balance, December 25, 2015	$	7,870
Charged to expense	5,057
Margin on parts sales reversed	1,307
Reductions for claims settled	(5,850		)
Balance, September 23, 2016	$	8,384

The Company manages certain self-insured loss exposures through a wholly-owned captive insurance subsidiary established in 2015. At September 23, 2016, cash balances of $9 million were restricted to funding of the captive's loss reserves. Restricted cash is included within other current assets on the Company's consolidated balance sheet.

10.Fair Value

Assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis and fair value measurement level were as follows (in thousands):



	Level	September 23, 2016		December 25, 2015
Assets
Cash surrender value of life insurance	2	$	13,659	$	12,856
Forward exchange contracts	2	—		107
Total assets at fair value		$	13,659	$	12,963
Liabilities
Contingent consideration	3	$	4,081	$	9,600
Deferred compensation	2	3,190		2,958
Forward exchange contracts	2	58		—
Total liabilities at fair value		$	7,329	$	12,558

Contracts insuring the lives of certain employees who are eligible to participate in certain non-qualified pension and deferred compensation plans are held in trust. Cash surrender value of the contracts is based on performance measurement funds that shadow the deferral investment allocations made by participants in certain deferred compensation plans. The deferred compensation liability balances are valued based on amounts allocated by participants to the underlying performance measurement funds.

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Contingent consideration liability represents the estimated value (using a probability-weighted expected return approach) of future payments to be made to previous owners of an acquired business based on future revenues.

Long-term notes payable with fixed interest rates have a carrying amount of $300 million and an estimated fair value of $335 million as of September 23, 2016 and $320 million as of December 25, 2015. The fair value of variable rate borrowings approximates carrying value. The Company uses significant other observable inputs to estimate fair value (level 2 of the fair value hierarchy) based on the present value of future cash flows and rates that would be available for issuance of debt with similar terms and remaining maturities.

11.Divestiture in 2015

In the second quarter of 2015, the Company sold the Liquid Finishing business assets that were held as a cost-method investment. The $149 million pre-tax gain, net of transaction and other related expenses, was included in investment income in the Company's consolidated statements of earnings. Net earnings for the third quarter of 2015 included after-tax net gain from post-closing purchase price adjustments of $2 million and year-to-date after-tax gain and dividends totaling $141 million. Prior to the sale, income was recognized on dividends received from after-tax earnings of Liquid Finishing and also included in investment income. Net earnings in 2015 included no dividend income for the quarter and $42 million for the year-to-date.

12.Recent Accounting Pronouncements

In February 2016, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) issued a final standard on accounting for leases. The new standard is effective for the Company in fiscal 2019 and requires most leases to be recorded on the balance sheet. The Company is evaluating the effect of the new standard on its consolidated financial statements and related disclosures and accounting systems.

In March 2016, FASB issued a new standard that changes the accounting for share-based payments. The standard is effective for the Company in fiscal 2017 and early adoption is permitted. It simplifies several aspects of accounting for share-based payments, including the accounting for income taxes, forfeitures, and classification in the statement of cash flows. Under the new standard, excess tax benefits on the exercise of stock options currently credited to equity will reduce the current tax provision, potentially creating volatility in the Company's effective tax rate. The Company is evaluating the effect of the new standard on its consolidated financial statements and related disclosures and will adopt for fiscal 2017.

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Item 2. GRACO INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF

FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Overview

The Company designs, manufactures and markets systems and equipment to move, measure, control, dispense and spray fluid and coating materials. Management classifies the Company’s business into three reportable segments: Industrial, Process and Contractor. Key strategies include developing and marketing new products, leveraging products and technologies into additional, growing end-user markets, expanding distribution globally and completing strategic acquisitions that provide additional channel and technologies.

The following Management’s Discussion and Analysis reviews significant factors affecting the Company’s results of operations and financial condition. This discussion should be read in conjunction with the financial statements and the accompanying notes to the financial statements.

Consolidated Results

Net sales, net earnings and earnings per share were as follows (in millions except per share amounts and percentages):



	Three Months Ended						Nine Months Ended
	September 23, 2016		September 25, 2015		% Change		September 23, 2016		September 25, 2015		% Change
Net Sales	$	327.2	$	319.0	3	%	$	980.2	$	960.9	2	%
Operating Earnings	81.5		76.9		6	%	220.8		226.0		(2	)%
Net Earnings	54.4		50.7		7	%	144.9		292.2		(50	)%
Diluted Net Earnings per Common Share	$	0.95	$	0.86	10	%	$	2.55	$	4.90	(48	)%

Net earnings in 2015 included net investment income from the Liquid Finishing businesses sold in the second quarter of 2015. Results excluding Liquid Finishing investment income and expense provide a more consistent base of comparison of ongoing financial results. A calculation of the non-GAAP measurement of net earnings excluding investment income and expense follows (in millions except per share amounts):



	Three Months Ended					Nine Months Ended
	September 23, 2016		September 25, 2015			September 23, 2016		September 25, 2015
Net Earnings, as reported	$	54.4	$	50.7		$	144.9	$	292.2
Held separate investment (income), net	—		(2.4		)	—		(190.7		)
Income tax effect	—		0.8			—		49.7
Net Earnings, adjusted	$	54.4	$	49.1		$	144.9	$	151.2
Diluted earnings per share
As reported	$	0.95	$	0.86		$	2.55	$	4.90
Adjusted	$	0.95	$	0.84		$	2.55	$	2.54

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The following table presents components of changes in sales:



	Quarter
	Segment						Region						Total
	Industrial		Process		Contractor		Americas₍₁₎		EMEA₍₂₎		Asia Pacific		Total
Volume and Price	(1)	%	0	%	7	%	2	%	2	%	3	%	2	%
Acquisitions	0	%	5	%	0	%	0	%	2	%	1	%	1	%
Currency	0	%	(1)	%	0	%	0	%	(2)	%	0	%	0	%
Total	(1)	%	4	%	7	%	2	%	2	%	4	%	3	%



	Year-to-Date
	Segment						Region						Total
	Industrial		Process		Contractor		Americas₍₁₎		EMEA₍₂₎		Asia Pacific		Total
Volume and Price	2	%	(9)	%	7	%	0	%	5	%	2	%	1	%
Acquisitions	0	%	6	%	0	%	1	%	3	%	2	%	2	%
Currency	(1)	%	(1)	%	0	%	0	%	(2)	%	(2)	%	(1)	%
Total	1	%	(4)	%	7	%	1	%	6	%	2	%	2	%

₍₁₎North and South America, including the United States

₍₂₎Europe, Middle East and Africa

Sales by geographic area were as follows (in millions):



	Three Months Ended				Nine Months Ended
	September 23, 2016		September 25, 2015		September 23, 2016		September 25, 2015
Americas	$	194.4	$	190.0	$	575.3	$	572.1
EMEA	73.6		72.2		229.4		216.6
Asia Pacific	59.2		56.8		175.5		172.2
Consolidated	$	327.2	$	319.0	$	980.2	$	960.9

Changes in currency translation rates had no significant effect on results for the quarter, and decreased year-to-date sales and net earnings by approximately $9 million and $2 million, respectively.

Sales for the quarter increased 3 percent, with 2 percent increases in the Americas and EMEA and a 4 percent increase in Asia Pacific. Incremental sales from operations acquired within the last 12 months totaled $4 million, contributing 1 percentage point of growth. Organic sales at consistent translation rates increased 2 percent, with increases in all regions.

Sales for the year to date increased 2 percent, driven by a 6 percent increase in EMEA. Incremental sales from operations acquired within the last 12 months totaled $15 million, contributing 2 percentage points of growth. Organic sales at consistent translation rates increased 1 percent, with increases of 5 percent in EMEA and 2 percent in Asia Pacific.

Gross profit margin rates were slightly higher for the quarter and flat for the year to date. The favorable effects of realized pricing and product and channel mix offset the unfavorable impacts of lower factory volume. Gross margin rate for the year to date also included the favorable impact of reduced acquisition-related purchase accounting effects.

Total operating expenses for the quarter were $2 million (2 percent) higher than the third quarter last year, including $2 million of incremental expenses of acquired operations. Unallocated corporate expenses decreased $3 million, mostly from changes in market-driven components of pension and stock compensation. Total operating expenses for the year to date were $16 million (6 percent) higher than the comparable period last year, including $7 million of incremental expenses of acquired operations.

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The effective income tax rate for the quarter was 29 percent, 2 percentage points lower than the comparable period last year. The 2016 rate included the impact of the federal R&D credit that was not available until the fourth quarter of 2015, and the favorable effect of foreign earnings taxed at lower rates than in the U.S. The effective rate for the year to date was 30 percent, 3 percentage points higher than the comparable period last year. Last year's rate included the favorable impact of non-recurring tax benefits, mostly related to a change in assertion as to reinvestment of foreign earnings, and the impact of post-tax dividend income, partially offset by the tax rate effect of the gain on the sale of the Liquid Finishing assets.

Goodwill Impairment Analysis

In 2016, operating results of our Oil and Natural Gas reporting unit ("ONG") within the Process segment have fallen short of expectations due to weakness in oil and natural gas markets. After considering third quarter operating results and preliminary projections from our 2017 planning process, we concluded that the depth and length of industry weakness, and its continuing impact on ONG results, were greater than previously expected. While management is committed to long-term profitability in ONG, and believes its investment in facility improvements, manufacturing capabilities and commercial resources have positioned the unit to benefit strongly from a recovery when it occurs, we initiated an impairment analysis at the end of the third quarter. Preliminary analysis indicated potential impairment of ONG goodwill as of September 23, 2016. Due to the amount of time and effort required to determine the implied fair value of ONG goodwill, we are unable to provide a reasonable estimate or a range of estimates for the potential non-cash impairment charge at this time. The carrying value of ONG goodwill was $147 million and the carrying value of other identifiable intangible assets of ONG totaled $73 million as of September 23, 2016. The valuation to determine the amount of impairment will be completed in the fourth quarter.

Segment Results

Certain measurements of segment operations compared to last year are summarized below:

Industrial



	Three Months Ended						Nine Months Ended
	September 23, 2016			September 25, 2015			September 23, 2016			September 25, 2015
Net sales (in millions)
Americas	$	66.8		$	69.8		$	201.3		$	209.1
EMEA	44.4			45.6			134.2			128.0
Asia Pacific	39.7			36.8			119.5			111.8
Total	$	150.9		$	152.2		$	455.0		$	448.9
Operating earnings as a percentage of net sales	34		%	33		%	32		%	32		%

Industrial segment sales for the quarter decreased 1 percent. An increase of 8 percent in Asia Pacific offset decreases of 4 percent in the Americas and 3 percent in EMEA. Year-to-date sales increased 1 percent (2 percent at consistent translation rates), including increases of 5 percent in EMEA (6 percent at consistent translation rates) and 7 percent in Asia Pacific (8 percent at consistent translation rates), partially offset by a decrease of 4 percent in the Americas. Operating margin rates for the Industrial segment were slightly higher than last year.

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Process



	Three Months Ended						Nine Months Ended
	September 23, 2016			September 25, 2015			September 23, 2016			September 25, 2015
Net sales (in millions)
Americas	$	43.0		$	41.0		$	124.3		$	128.3
EMEA	12.7			12.7			40.1			41.5
Asia Pacific	11.4			11.0			31.7			34.5
Total	$	67.1		$	64.7		$	196.1		$	204.3
Operating earnings as a percentage of net sales	15		%	16		%	13		%	17		%

Process segment sales for the quarter increased 4 percent (5 percent at consistent translation rates), including increases of 5 percent in the Americas and 4 percent in Asia Pacific. Sales were flat in EMEA, but increased 7 percent at consistent translation rates. Year-to-date sales in this segment were down 4 percent (3 percent at consistent translation rates), including decreases of 3 percent in the Americas, 4 percent in EMEA (flat at consistent translation rates) and 8 percent in Asia Pacific (6 percent at consistent translation rates). Operating margin rate recovered in the third quarter with higher sales volume and improved gross margin rate. For the year to date, operating margin rate decreased compared to last year due to lower sales volume and unfavorable expense leverage.

Contractor



	Three Months Ended						Nine Months Ended
	September 23, 2016			September 25, 2015			September 23, 2016			September 25, 2015
Net sales (in millions)
Americas	$	84.6		$	79.2		$	249.7		$	234.7
EMEA	16.5			13.9			55.2			47.1
Asia Pacific	8.1			9.0			24.3			25.9
Total	$	109.2		$	102.1		$	329.2		$	307.7
Operating earnings as a percentage of net sales	23		%	24		%	22		%	23		%

Contractor segment sales for the quarter increased 7 percent, with increases of 7 percent in the Americas and 20 percent in EMEA, partially offset by a decrease of 11 percent in Asia Pacific. Year-to-date sales increased 7 percent, with increases of 6 percent in the Americas and 17 percent in EMEA, partially offset by a 6 percent decrease in Asia Pacific. Operating margin rates decreased slightly compared to last year due to unfavorable expense leverage and product and channel mix.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

Net cash provided by operating activities through the first nine months of 2016 was $202 million, compared to $135 million in the same period of 2015. Net cash from operating activities in 2015 was affected by increases in accounts receivables balances from growth in business activity, build up of inventory levels to improve customer service and transaction costs related to the sale of Liquid Finishing business assets. In the first quarter of 2016, the Company used proceeds from borrowings under its revolving line of credit to complete acquisitions of two related businesses that were not material to the consolidated financial statements. Other significant uses of cash in 2016 included share repurchases of $48 million (partially offset by $26 million of proceeds from shares issued), cash dividends of $55 million and property, plant and equipment additions of $34 million. In 2015, proceeds of $610 million from the sale of Liquid Finishing assets were principally used to retire debt.

At September 23, 2016, cash balances of $9 million were restricted to funding of certain self-insured loss reserves. Restricted cash is included within other current assets on the Company's consolidated balance sheet.

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At September 23, 2016, the Company had various lines of credit totaling $547 million, of which $484 million was unused. Internally generated funds and unused financing sources are expected to provide the Company with the flexibility to meet its liquidity needs in 2016.

Outlook

We are holding to our outlook of low single-digit sales growth for Graco worldwide for the full year 2016. The Industrial segment continues to experience a spotty environment for capital equipment spending worldwide, with ongoing weakness most notable in the Americas region. Construction activity remains solid in the EMEA and Americas regions. While the Process segment saw modest growth sequentially in the third quarter, we are cautious about ongoing headwinds. Regionally, we anticipate the Americas region will finish the full year 2016 flat compared with the prior year, below our prior outlook of low single-digit growth. In the EMEA region, we reiterate our low-to-mid single-digit growth expectations for the full year. Our outlook for the Asia Pacific region continues to be low single-digit growth for 2016. The fourth quarter of 2015 was the highest growth quarter of the year, with 6 percent growth on an organic, constant currency basis, providing a difficult comparable for the last quarter of the year.

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

The Company desires to take advantage of the “safe harbor” provisions regarding forward-looking statements of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and is filing this Cautionary Statement in order to do so. From time to time various forms filed by our Company with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our Form 10-K, Form 10-Qs and Form 8-Ks, and other disclosures, including our 2015 Overview report, press releases, earnings releases, analyst briefings, conference calls and other written documents or oral statements released by our Company, may contain forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements generally use words such as “expect,” “foresee,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “project,” “should,” “estimate,” “will,” and similar expressions, and reflect our Company’s expectations concerning the future. All forecasts and projections are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are based upon currently available information, but various risks and uncertainties may cause our Company’s actual results to differ materially from those expressed in these statements. The Company undertakes no obligation to update these statements in light of new information or future events.

Future results could differ materially from those expressed due to the impact of changes in various factors. These risk factors include, but are not limited to: our Company’s growth strategies, which include making acquisitions, investing in new products, expanding geographically and targeting new industries; economic conditions in the United States and other major world economies; changes in currency translation rates; changes in laws and regulations; compliance with anti-corruption laws; new entrants who copy our products or infringe on our intellectual property; risks incident to conducting business internationally; the ability to meet our customers’ needs and changes in product demand; supply interruptions or delays; security breaches; the possibility of asset impairments if acquired businesses do not meet performance expectations; political instability; results of and costs associated with, litigation, administrative proceedings and regulatory reviews incident to our business as well as indemnification claims under our asset purchase agreement with Carlisle Companies Incorporated, Carlisle Fluid Technologies, Inc., and Finishing Brands Holdings Inc.; the possibility of decline in purchases from few large customers of the Contractor segment; variations in activity in the construction, automotive, mining and oil and natural gas industries; our ability to attract, develop and retain qualified personnel; and catastrophic events. Please refer to Item 1A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for fiscal year 2015 for a more comprehensive discussion of these and other risk factors. These reports are available on the Company’s website at www.graco.com and the Securities and Exchange Commission’s website at www.sec.gov. Shareholders, potential investors and other readers are urged to consider these factors in evaluating forward-looking statements and are cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements.

Investors should realize that factors other than those identified above and in Item 1A might prove important to the Company’s future results. It is not possible for management to identify each and every factor that may have an impact on the Company’s operations in the future as new factors can develop from time to time.

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Item 3.Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

There have been no material changes related to market risk from the disclosures made in the Company’s 2015 Annual Report on Form 10-K.

Item 4.Controls and Procedures

Evaluation of disclosure controls and procedures

As of the end of the fiscal quarter covered by this report, the Company carried out an evaluation of the effectiveness of the design and operation of its disclosure controls and procedures. This evaluation was done under the supervision and with the participation of the Company’s President and Chief Executive Officer, the Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer, the Vice President, Controller and Information Systems, and the Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary. Based upon that evaluation, they concluded that the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures are effective.

Changes in internal controls

During the quarter, there was no change in the Company’s internal control over financial reporting that has materially affected or is reasonably likely to materially affect the Company’s internal control over financial reporting.

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PART IIOTHER INFORMATION

Item 1A.Risk Factors

Except as noted below, there have been no material changes to the Company’s risk factors from those disclosed in the Company’s 2015 Annual Report on Form 10-K.

Impairment - If acquired businesses do not meet performance expectations, assets acquired could be subject to impairment.

Our total assets reflect goodwill from acquisitions, representing the excess cost over the fair value of the identifiable net assets acquired. We test annually whether goodwill has been impaired, or more frequently if events or changes in circumstances indicate the goodwill may be impaired. If future operating performance at one or more of our operating units were to fall significantly below forecast levels or if market conditions for one or more of our acquired businesses were to decline, we could be required to incur a non-cash charge to operating income for impairment. Any impairment in the value of our goodwill would have an adverse non-cash impact on our results of operations and reduce our net worth. In 2016, operating results of our Oil and Natural Gas reporting unit ("ONG") have fallen short of expectations due to weakness in oil and natural gas markets. After considering third quarter operating results and preliminary projections from our 2017 planning process, we concluded that the depth and length of industry weakness, and its continuing impact on ONG results, were greater than previously expected. Consequently, we initiated an impairment analysis at the end of the third quarter. Preliminary analysis indicated potential impairment of ONG goodwill as of September 23, 2016. Due to the amount of time and effort required to determine the implied fair value of ONG goodwill, we are unable to provide a reasonable estimate or a range of estimates for the potential non-cash impairment charge at this time. The carrying value of ONG goodwill was $147 million and the carrying value of other identifiable intangible assets of ONG totaled $73 million as of September 23, 2016. The valuation to determine the amount of impairment will be completed in the fourth quarter.

Item 2.Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds

Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities

On April 24, 2015, the Board of Directors authorized the Company to purchase up to 6,000,000 shares of its outstanding common stock, primarily through open-market transactions. The authorization is for an indefinite period of time or until terminated by the Board.

In addition to shares purchased under the Board authorizations, the Company purchases shares of common stock held by employees who wish to tender owned shares to satisfy the exercise price or tax due upon exercise of options or vesting of restricted stock.

No shares were purchased in the third quarter of 2016. As of September 23, 2016, there were 3,852,367 shares that may yet be purchased under the Board authorization.

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Item 6.Exhibits



3.1			Restated Articles of Incorporation as amended June 13, 2014. (Incorporated by reference to Exhibit 3.1 to the Company’s Report on Form 8-K filed June 16, 2014.)

3.2			Restated Bylaws as amended February 14, 2014. (Incorporated by reference to Exhibit 3.2 to the Company’s 2013 Annual Report on Form 10-K.)

31.1			Certification of President and Chief Executive Officer pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a).

31.2			Certification of Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a).

32			Certification of President and Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer pursuant to Section 1350 of Title 18, U.S.C.

99.1			Press Release Reporting Third Quarter Earnings dated October 19, 2016.

101			Interactive Data File.

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SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

GRACO INC.




Date:	October 19, 2016	By:	/s/ Patrick J. McHale
			Patrick J. McHale
			President and Chief Executive Officer
			(Principal Executive Officer)

Date:	October 19, 2016	By:	/s/ Christian E. Rothe
			Christian E. Rothe
			Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
			(Principal Financial Officer)

Date:	October 19, 2016	By:	/s/ Caroline M. Chambers
			Caroline M. Chambers
			Vice President, Corporate Controller and Information Systems
			(Principal Accounting Officer)

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