Selective Insurance - 10-Q quarterly report FY2017 Q3

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UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, DC 20549

FORM 10-Q

(Mark One)

x QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the quarterly period ended: September 30, 2017

¨ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the transition period from_____________________________to_____________________________

Commission File Number: 001-33067

SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)



New Jersey		22-2168890
(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation or Organization)		(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

40 Wantage Avenue
Branchville, New Jersey		07890
(Address of Principal Executive Offices)		(Zip Code)

(973) 948-3000

(Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code)

(Former Name, Former Address and Former Fiscal Year, if Changed Since Last Report)

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant: (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.

Yesx No o

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files).

Yesx No o

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, a smaller reporting company, or an emerging growth company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer,” “smaller reporting company,” and “emerging growth company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.



Large accelerated filer x		Accelerated filer o
Non-accelerated filer o		Smaller reporting company o
Emerging growth company o

(Do not check if a smaller reporting company)

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.

Yeso No o

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yeso Nox

As of October 13, 2017, there were 58,391,399 shares of common stock, par value $2.00 per share, outstanding.

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	SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
	Table of Contents
		Page No.
PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION

Item 1.	Financial Statements

	Consolidated Balance Sheets as of September 30, 2017 (Unaudited) and December 31, 2016	1

	Unaudited Consolidated Statements of Income for the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2017 and 2016	2

	Unaudited Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income for the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2017 and 2016	3

	Unaudited Consolidated Statements of Stockholders' Equity for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2017 and 2016	4

	Unaudited Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2017 and 2016	5

	Notes to Unaudited Interim Consolidated Financial Statements	6

Item 2.	Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

	Forward-Looking Statements	24

	Introduction	24

	Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates	25

	Financial Highlights of Results for Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017 and Third Quarter and Nine Months 2016	25

	Results of Operations and Related Information by Segment	30

	Federal Income Taxes	39

	Financial Condition, Liquidity, and Capital Resources	39

	Ratings	42

	Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements	43

	Contractual Obligations, Contingent Liabilities, and Commitments	43

Item 3.	Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk	43

Item 4.	Controls and Procedures	43

PART II. OTHER INFORMATION

Item 1.	Legal Proceedings	44

Item 1A.	Risk Factors	44

Item 2.	Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds	45

Item 6.	Exhibits	45

Signatures		46

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PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION



ITEM 1. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS.



SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS	Unaudited
($ in thousands, except share amounts)	September 30, 2017			December 31, 2016
ASSETS
Investments:
Fixed income securities, held-to-maturity – at carrying value (fair value: $67,716 – 2017; $105,211 – 2016)	$	64,989		101,556
Fixed income securities, available-for-sale – at fair value (amortized cost: $5,026,735 – 2017; $4,753,759 – 2016)	5,133,432			4,792,540
Equity securities, available-for-sale – at fair value (cost: $145,984 – 2017; $120,889 – 2016)	175,272			146,753
Short-term investments (at cost which approximates fair value)	216,336			221,701
Other investments	120,806			102,397
Total investments (Note 4 and 6)	5,710,835			5,364,947
Cash	694			458
Interest and dividends due or accrued	40,754			40,164
Premiums receivable, net of allowance for uncollectible accounts of: $7,218 – 2017; $5,980 – 2016	769,786			681,611
Reinsurance recoverable, net of allowance for uncollectible accounts of: $4,700 – 2017; $5,500 – 2016	661,189			621,537
Prepaid reinsurance premiums	161,429			146,282
Current federal income tax	—			2,486
Deferred federal income tax	52,932			84,840
Property and equipment – at cost, net of accumulated depreciation and amortization of: $211,444 – 2017; $198,729 – 2016	66,339			69,576
Deferred policy acquisition costs	242,156			222,564
Goodwill	7,849			7,849
Other assets	98,167			113,534
Total assets	$	7,812,130		7,355,848

LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY
Liabilities:
Reserve for losses and loss expenses (Note 8)	$	3,835,800		3,691,719
Unearned premiums	1,393,821			1,262,819
Long-term debt	439,006			438,667
Current federal income tax	6,730			—
Accrued salaries and benefits	113,076			132,880
Other liabilities	324,345			298,393
Total liabilities	$	6,112,778		5,824,478

Stockholders’ Equity:
Preferred stock of $0 par value per share:	$	—		—
Authorized shares 5,000,000; no shares issued or outstanding
Common stock of $2 par value per share:
Authorized shares 360,000,000
Issued: 102,180,302 – 2017; 101,620,436 – 2016	204,361			203,241
Additional paid-in capital	362,737			347,295
Retained earnings	1,679,041			1,568,881
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) (Note 11)	31,315			(15,950	)
Treasury stock – at cost (shares: 43,789,249 – 2017; 43,653,237 – 2016)	(578,102		)	(572,097	)
Total stockholders’ equity	$	1,699,352		1,531,370
Commitments and contingencies
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity	$	7,812,130		7,355,848

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these unaudited interim consolidated financial statements.

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SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME	Quarter ended September 30,					Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)	2017			2016		2017		2016
Revenues:
Net premiums earned	$	572,055		542,429		1,700,939		1,596,819
Net investment income earned	40,446			33,375		119,295		95,326
Net realized gains:
Net realized investment gains	6,871			4,030		12,252		7,233
Other-than-temporary impairments	(43		)	(342	)	(4,729	)	(4,494	)
Other-than-temporary impairments on fixed income securities recognized in other comprehensive income	(30		)	—		(36	)	10
Total net realized gains	6,798			3,688		7,487		2,749
Other income	1,994			2,199		8,526		7,018
Total revenues	621,293			581,691		1,836,247		1,701,912

Expenses:
Losses and loss expenses incurred	344,587			316,258		1,003,618		911,881
Policy acquisition costs	194,635			193,835		587,687		567,793
Interest expense	6,085			5,714		18,272		16,940
Other expenses	8,671			10,441		32,852		35,669
Total expenses	553,978			526,248		1,642,429		1,532,283

Income before federal income tax	67,315			55,443		193,818		169,629

Federal income tax expense:
Current	16,859			5,625		48,917		38,027
Deferred	3,738			11,316		6,317		12,467
Total federal income tax expense	20,597			16,941		55,234		50,494

Net income	$	46,718		38,502		138,584		119,135

Earnings per share:
Basic net income	$	0.80		0.66		2.37		2.06

Diluted net income	$	0.79		0.66		2.34		2.03

Dividends to stockholders	$	0.16		0.15		0.48		0.45

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these unaudited interim consolidated financial statements.

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SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME	Quarter ended September 30,					Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)	2017			2016		2017		2016
Net income	$	46,718		38,502		138,584		119,135

Other comprehensive income, net of tax:
Unrealized gains (losses) on investment securities:
Unrealized holding gains (losses) arising during period	10,874			(8,444	)	50,961		70,473
Non-credit portion of other-than-temporary impairments recognized in other comprehensive income	19			—		23		(6	)
Amounts reclassified into net income:
Held-to-maturity securities	(35		)	(9	)	(95	)	(68	)
Non-credit other-than-temporary impairments	25			—		25		—
Realized gains on available-for-sale securities	(4,394		)	(2,395	)	(4,638	)	(1,786	)
Total unrealized gains (losses) on investment securities	6,489			(10,848	)	46,276		68,613

Defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans:
Amounts reclassified into net income:
Net actuarial loss	329			1,050		989		3,021
Total defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans	329			1,050		989		3,021
Other comprehensive income (loss)	6,818			(9,798	)	47,265		71,634
Comprehensive income	$	53,536		28,704		185,849		190,769

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these unaudited interim consolidated financial statements.

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SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY	Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)	2017			2016
Common stock:
Beginning of year	$	203,241		201,723
Dividend reinvestment plan (shares: 22,278 – 2017; 29,865 – 2016)	45			60
Stock purchase and compensation plans (shares: 537,588 – 2017; 613,964 – 2016)	1,075			1,228
End of period	204,361			203,011

Additional paid-in capital:
Beginning of year	347,295			326,656
Dividend reinvestment plan	1,025			1,035
Stock purchase and compensation plans	14,417			15,155
End of period	362,737			342,846

Retained earnings:
Beginning of year	1,568,881			1,446,192
Net income	138,584			119,135
Dividends to stockholders ($0.48 per share – 2017; $0.45 per share – 2016)	(28,424		)	(26,399	)
End of period	1,679,041			1,538,928

Accumulated other comprehensive income:
Beginning of year	(15,950		)	(9,425	)
Other comprehensive income	47,265			71,634
End of period	31,315			62,209

Treasury stock:
Beginning of year	(572,097		)	(567,105	)
Acquisition of treasury stock (shares: 136,012 – 2017; 152,392 – 2016)	(6,005		)	(4,985	)
End of period	(578,102		)	(572,090	)
Total stockholders’ equity	$	1,699,352		1,574,904

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. also has authorized, but not issued, 5,000,000 shares of preferred stock, without par value, of which 300,000 shares have been

designated Series A junior preferred stock, without par value.

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these unaudited interim consolidated financial statements.

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SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS	Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)	2017			2016
Operating Activities
Net income	$	138,584		119,135

Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:
Depreciation and amortization	38,163			45,563
Stock-based compensation expense	10,139			8,950
Undistributed (gains) losses of equity method investments	(5,157		)	49
Loss on disposal of fixed assets	998			—
Net realized gains	(7,487		)	(2,749	)

Changes in assets and liabilities:
Increase in reserve for losses and loss expenses, net of reinsurance recoverable	104,429			90,814
Increase in unearned premiums, net of prepaid reinsurance	115,855			125,453
Decrease in net federal income taxes	15,674			11,534
Increase in premiums receivable	(88,175		)	(96,425	)
Increase in deferred policy acquisition costs	(19,592		)	(22,775	)
Increase in interest and dividends due or accrued	(1,088		)	(1,356	)
Decrease in accrued salaries and benefits	(19,804		)	(63,753	)
Decrease (increase) in other assets	12,678			(16,280	)
Increase (decrease) in other liabilities	12,621			(20,686	)
Net cash provided by operating activities	307,838			177,474

Investing Activities
Purchase of fixed income securities, held-to-maturity	—			(4,235	)
Purchase of fixed income securities, available-for-sale	(1,517,474		)	(842,253	)
Purchase of equity securities, available-for-sale	(44,480		)	(24,747	)
Purchase of other investments	(34,586		)	(34,994	)
Purchase of short-term investments	(3,025,824		)	(1,307,024	)
Sale of fixed income securities, available-for-sale	811,991			33,448
Sale of short-term investments	3,032,802			1,332,239
Redemption and maturities of fixed income securities, held-to-maturity	36,092			74,186
Redemption and maturities of fixed income securities, available-for-sale	439,616			483,877
Sale of equity securities, available-for-sale	19,007			99,420
Distributions from other investments	18,503			18,512
Purchase of property and equipment	(11,806		)	(13,421	)
Net cash used in investing activities	(276,159		)	(184,992	)

Financing Activities
Dividends to stockholders	(26,915		)	(24,885	)
Acquisition of treasury stock	(6,005		)	(4,985	)
Net proceeds from stock purchase and compensation plans	4,744			4,906
Proceeds from borrowings	64,000			105,000
Repayments of borrowings	(64,000		)	(70,000	)
Excess tax benefits from share-based payment arrangements	—			1,917
Repayments of capital lease obligations	(3,267		)	(3,840	)
Net cash (used in) provided by financing activities	(31,443		)	8,113
Net increase in cash	236			595
Cash, beginning of year	458			898
Cash, end of period	$	694		1,493

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these unaudited interim consolidated financial statements.

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NOTES TO UNAUDITED INTERIM CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

NOTE 1. Basis of Presentation

As used herein, the "Company,” “we,” “us,” or “our” refers to Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the "Parent"), and its subsidiaries, except as expressly indicated or unless the context otherwise requires. Our interim unaudited consolidated financial statements (“Financial Statements”) have been prepared by us in conformity with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) and the rules and regulations of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) regarding interim financial reporting. The preparation of the Financial Statements in conformity with GAAP requires us to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported financial statement balances, as well as the disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities. Actual results could differ from those estimates. All significant intercompany accounts and transactions between the Parent and its subsidiaries are eliminated in consolidation.

Our Financial Statements reflect all adjustments that, in our opinion, are normal, recurring, and necessary for a fair presentation of our results of operations and financial condition. Our Financial Statements cover the third quarters ended September 30, 2017 (“Third Quarter 2017”) and September 30, 2016 (“Third Quarter 2016”) and the nine-month periods ended September 30, 2017 ("Nine Months 2017") and September 30, 2016 ("Nine Months 2016"). The Financial Statements do not include all of the information and disclosures required by GAAP and the SEC for audited annual financial statements. Results of operations for any interim period are not necessarily indicative of results for a full year. Consequently, our Financial Statements should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements contained in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2016 (“2016 Annual Report”) filed with the SEC.

NOTE 2. Adoption of Accounting Pronouncements

In March 2016, the Financial Accounting Standards Board ("FASB") issued Accounting Standard Update ("ASU") 2016-09, Compensation - Stock Compensation: Improvements to Employee Share-based Payment Accounting (“ASU 2016-09”). ASU 2016-09 simplifies several aspects of the accounting for share-based payment transactions. We adopted this guidance on January 1, 2017, which resulted in the following impacts on our consolidated financial statements:

Consolidated Statements of Income

The new standard requires that the tax effects of share-based compensation be recognized in the income tax provision as discrete items outside of the annual estimated expected tax rate. In addition, all excess tax benefits and tax deficiencies should be recognized as income tax benefit or expense in the income statement. Previously, these amounts were recorded in additional paid-in capital. In addition, in calculating potential common shares used to determine diluted earnings per share, GAAP requires us to use the treasury stock method. The new standard requires that assumed proceeds under the treasury stock method be modified to exclude the amount of excess tax benefits that would have been recognized in additional paid-in capital. These changes were adopted on a prospective basis. As a result of adoption, we recognized an income tax benefit in the Consolidated Statements of Income of $0.1 million in Third Quarter 2017 and $3.4 million in Nine Months 2017 related to stock grants that have vested this year.

In recording share-based compensation expense, the standard allows companies to make a policy election as to whether they will include an estimate of awards expected to be forfeited or whether they will account for forfeitures as they occur. We have elected to include an estimate of forfeitures in the computation of our share-based compensation expense. As this treatment is consistent with previous guidance, this election had no impact on our consolidated financial statements.

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

ASU 2016-09 requires that excess tax benefits from share-based awards be reported as operating activities in the consolidated statement of cash flows. Previously, these cash flows were included in financing activities. We elected to apply this change on a prospective basis; therefore, no changes have been made to the prior periods disclosed in this report.

ASU 2016-09 also requires that employee taxes paid when an employer withholds shares for tax-withholding purposes be reported as financing activities in the consolidated statement of cash flows. This requirement has no impact to us as we have historically reported these cash flows as part of financing activities.

In October 2016, the FASB issued ASU 2016-17, Consolidation: Interests Held through Related Parties That Are under Common Control ("ASU 2016-17"). ASU 2016-17 changes how a decision maker considers indirect interests in a variable interest entity ("VIE") held under common control in making the primary beneficiary determination. ASU 2016-17 was effective for annual periods beginning after December 15, 2016, including interim periods within those annual periods. The adoption of ASU 2016-17 did not impact us, as we are not the decision maker in any of the VIEs in which we are invested.

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Pronouncements to be effective in the future

In January 2016, the FASB issued ASU 2016-01, Financial Instruments - Overall: Recognition and Measurement of Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities (“ASU 2016-01”). ASU 2016-01 provides guidance to improve certain aspects of recognition, measurement, presentation, and disclosure of financial instruments. Specifically the guidance: (i) requires equity investments to be measured at fair value with changes in fair value recognized in earnings; (ii) simplifies the impairment assessment of equity investments without readily determinable fair values by requiring a qualitative assessment to identify impairment; (iii) eliminates the requirement to disclose the methods and significant assumptions used to estimate the fair value that is required to be disclosed for financial instruments measured at amortized cost; (iv) requires the use of the exit price notion when measuring the fair value of financial instruments for disclosure purposes; and (v) clarifies that the need for a valuation allowance on a deferred tax asset related to an available-for-sale ("AFS") security should be evaluated with other deferred tax assets.

ASU 2016-01 is effective for annual periods beginning after December 15, 2017, including interim periods within those annual periods. Our adoption of this guidance will require a cumulative-effect adjustment to the balance sheet as of January 1, 2018 in an amount equal to the after-tax net unrealized gain or loss on our equity portfolio as of year-end 2017. If this guidance had been adopted as of the beginning of 2017, the cumulative-effect adjustment would have been approximately $17 million after tax and we would have recognized additional after-tax net income of approximately $2 million or $0.04 per diluted share, reflecting the change in fair value during Nine Months 2017.

In February 2016, the FASB issued ASU 2016-02, Leases (“ASU 2016-02”). ASU 2016-02 requires all lessees to recognize a lease liability and a right-of-use asset, measured at the present value of the future minimum lease payments, at the lease commencement date. ASU 2016-02 is effective for fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2018, including interim reporting periods within that fiscal year, with early adoption permitted. ASU 2016-02 requires the application of a modified retrospective approach for leases existing at, or entered into after, the beginning of the earliest comparative period presented in the financial statements. While we are currently evaluating ASU 2016-02, we do not expect a material impact on our financial condition or results of operations from the adoption of this guidance.

In June 2016, the FASB issued ASU 2016-13, Financial Instruments - Credit Losses (“ASU 2016-13”). ASU 2016-13 will change the way entities recognize impairment of financial assets by requiring immediate recognition of estimated credit losses expected to occur over the remaining life of many financial assets, including, among others, held-to-maturity debt securities, trade receivables, and reinsurance recoverables. ASU 2016-13 requires a valuation allowance to be calculated on these financial assets and that they be presented on the financial statements net of the valuation allowance. The valuation allowance is a measurement of expected losses that is based on relevant information about past events, including historical experience, current conditions, and reasonable and supportable forecasts that affect the collectability of the reported amount. This methodology is referred to as the current expected credit loss model. ASU 2016-13 is effective for fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2019, including interim periods within those annual periods. Early adoption is permitted, but no earlier than fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2018. We are currently evaluating the impact of this guidance on our financial condition and results of operations.

In August 2016, the FASB issued ASU 2016-15, Statement of Cash Flows (“ASU 2016-15”). ASU 2016-15 adds or clarifies guidance on the classification of certain cash receipts and payments in the statement of cash flows, including, but not limited to: (i) debt prepayment or debt extinguishment costs; (ii) proceeds from the settlement of corporate-owned life insurance policies, including bank-owned life insurance policies; (iii) distributions received from equity method investees; and (iv) separately identifiable cash flows and application of the predominance principle. ASU 2016-15 is effective for fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2017, and interim periods within those fiscal years. Early adoption is permitted. We are currently evaluating the impact of this guidance on our statement of cash flows.

In November 2016, the FASB issued ASU 2016-18, Statement of Cash Flows: Restricted Cash ("ASU 2016-18"). ASU 2016-18, requires that restricted cash and restricted cash equivalents be included with cash and cash equivalents in the reconciliation of beginning and ending cash on the statements of cash flows. This update also requires a reconciliation of the statement of the cash flows to the balance sheet if the balance sheet includes more than one line item of cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash. ASU 2016-18 is effective, with retrospective adoption, for annual periods beginning after December 15, 2017, and interim periods within those annual periods. We currently have restricted cash associated with the National Flood Insurance Program ("NFIP") in "Other assets." This literature will impact the presentation of this item in both the Consolidated Balance Sheets and the Statements of Cash Flows.

In January 2017, the FASB issued ASU 2017-04, Intangibles-Goodwill and Other: Simplifying the Test for Goodwill Impairment (“ASU 2017-04”). ASU 2017-04 eliminates the second step of the two part goodwill impairment test, which

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required entities to determine the fair value of individual assets and liabilities of a reporting unit to measure the goodwill impairment. Under the new guidance, a goodwill impairment is calculated as the amount by which a reporting unit’s carrying value exceeds its fair value, not to exceed the carrying amount of goodwill. An entity still has the option to perform the qualitative assessment for a reporting unit to determine if the quantitative impairment test is necessary. The amendments in this update should be applied on a prospective basis for annual or interim goodwill impairment tests in fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2019. Early adoption is permitted for interim or annual goodwill impairment tests performed on testing dates after January 1, 2017. We do not expect a material impact on our financial condition or results of operations from the adoption of this guidance.

In March 2017, the FASB issued ASU 2017-07, Compensation-Retirement Benefits: Improving the Presentation of Net Periodic Pension Cost and Net Periodic Postretirement Benefit Cost ("ASU 2017-07"). ASU 2017-07 requires that an employer report a pension plan's service cost in the same line item or line items as other compensation costs arising from services rendered by pertinent employees during the period. ASU 2017-07 also requires that other components of net benefit cost be presented in the income statement separately from the service cost component. If a separate line item or items are not used, the line item or items used in the income statement to present the other components of net benefit cost must be disclosed. ASU 2017-07 is effective for annual periods beginning after December 15, 2017, including interim periods within those annual periods, with early adoption permitted at the beginning of an annual period. As our pension plan was frozen as of March 2016, we have ceased accruing additional service fee costs since that time. Therefore, the application of this guidance is not anticipated to impact our financial condition, results of operations, or disclosures.

In March 2017, the FASB issued ASU 2017-08, Receivables-Nonrefundable Fees and Other Costs: Premium Amortization on Purchased Callable Debt Securities ("ASU 2017-08"). ASU 2017-08 revises the amortization period for certain callable debt securities held at a premium, requiring the premium to be amortized to the earliest call date. Under current GAAP, entities generally amortize the premium as an adjustment of yield over the contractual life of the instrument. ASU 2017-08 is effective for annual periods, and interim periods within those annual periods, beginning after December 15, 2018 with early adoption permitted. This ASU does not impact us as we amortize premium on these callable debt securities to the earliest call date.

In May 2017, the FASB issued ASU 2017-09, Compensation - Stock Compensation: Scope of Modification Accounting ("ASU 2017-09"). ASU 2017-09 provides clarification about which changes to the terms or conditions of a share-based payment award would require the application of modification accounting. ASU 2017-09 is effective for annual and interim periods beginning after December 15, 2017, with early adoption permitted. The adoption of this guidance is not anticipated to impact us, as we currently record modifications in accordance with this ASU.

NOTE 3. Statements of Cash Flows

Supplemental cash flow information was as follows:



	Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)	2017		2016
Cash paid during the period for:
Interest	$	15,356	13,874
Federal income tax	39,000		36,405

Non-cash items:
Exchange of fixed income securities, AFS	6,192		21,775
Corporate actions related to equity securities, AFS¹	4,725		3,032
Assets acquired under capital lease arrangements	278		3,108
Non-cash purchase of property and equipment	—		648

¹Examples of such corporate actions include non-cash acquisitions and stock splits.

Included in "Other assets" on the Consolidated Balance Sheets was $18.0 million at September 30, 2017 and $20.9 million at September 30, 2016 of cash received from the NFIP, which is restricted to pay flood claims under the Write Your Own ("WYO") program.

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NOTE 4. Investments

(a) Information regarding our held-to-maturity ("HTM") fixed income securities as of September 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016 was as follows:



September 30, 2017
($ in thousands)	Amortized Cost		Net Unrealized Gains (Losses)		Carrying Value	Unrecognized Holding Gains	Unrecognized Holding Losses	Fair Value
Obligations of states and political subdivisions	$	46,551	130		46,681	1,442	—	48,123
Corporate securities	18,426		(118	)	18,308	1,285	—	19,593
Total HTM fixed income securities	$	64,977	12		64,989	2,727	—	67,716



December 31, 2016
($ in thousands)	Amortized Cost		Net Unrealized Gains (Losses)		Carrying Value	Unrecognized Holding Gains	Unrecognized Holding Losses		Fair Value
Obligations of states and political subdivisions	$	77,466	317		77,783	2,133	—		79,916
Corporate securities	22,711		(143	)	22,568	1,665	(158	)	24,075
Commercial mortgage-backed securities ("CMBS")	1,220		(15	)	1,205	15	—		1,220
Total HTM fixed income securities	$	101,397	159		101,556	3,813	(158	)	105,211

Unrecognized holding gains and losses of HTM securities are not reflected in the Financial Statements, as they represent fair value fluctuations from the later of: (i) the date a security is designated as HTM; or (ii) the date that an other-than-temporary impairment (“OTTI”) charge is recognized on an HTM security, through the date of the balance sheet.

(b) Information regarding our AFS securities as of September 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016 was as follows:



September 30, 2017
($ in thousands)	Cost/ Amortized Cost		Unrealized Gains	Unrealized Losses		Fair Value
AFS fixed income securities:
U.S. government and government agencies	$	58,820	906	(137	)	59,589
Foreign government	18,149		650	—		18,799
Obligations of states and political subdivisions	1,431,282		49,088	(432	)	1,479,938
Corporate securities	1,753,584		41,095	(845	)	1,793,834
Collateralized loan obligations and other asset-backed securities ("CLO and other ABS")	747,793		6,305	(143	)	753,955
CMBS	306,173		2,249	(318	)	308,104
Residential mortgage-backed securities (“RMBS”)	710,934		8,842	(563	)	719,213
Total AFS fixed income securities	5,026,735		109,135	(2,438	)	5,133,432
AFS equity securities:
Common stock	131,869		29,900	(1,342	)	160,427
Preferred stock	14,115		748	(18	)	14,845
Total AFS equity securities	145,984		30,648	(1,360	)	175,272
Total AFS securities	$	5,172,719	139,783	(3,798	)	5,308,704

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December 31, 2016
($ in thousands)	Cost/ Amortized Cost		Unrealized Gains	Unrealized Losses		Fair Value
AFS fixed income securities:
U.S. government and government agencies	$	75,139	2,230	(36	)	77,333
Foreign government	26,559		322	(16	)	26,865
Obligations of states and political subdivisions	1,366,287		18,610	(5,304	)	1,379,593
Corporate securities	1,976,556		27,057	(5,860	)	1,997,753
CLO and other ABS	527,876		1,439	(355	)	528,960
CMBS	256,356		1,514	(1,028	)	256,842
RMBS	524,986		3,006	(2,798	)	525,194
Total AFS fixed income securities	4,753,759		54,178	(15,397	)	4,792,540
AFS equity securities:
Common stock	104,663		26,250	(305	)	130,608
Preferred stock	16,226		274	(355	)	16,145
Total AFS equity securities	120,889		26,524	(660	)	146,753
Total AFS securities	$	4,874,648	80,702	(16,057	)	4,939,293

Unrealized gains and losses of AFS securities represent fair value fluctuations from the later of: (i) the date a security is designated as AFS; or (ii) the date that an OTTI charge is recognized on an AFS security, through the date of the balance sheet. These unrealized gains and losses are recorded in "Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)" ("AOCI") on the Consolidated Balance Sheets.

(c) The severity of impairment on securities in an unrealized/unrecognized loss position averaged 1% of amortized cost at September 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016. Quantitative information regarding unrealized losses on our AFS portfolio is provided below.



September 30, 2017	Less than 12 months				12 months or longer			Total
($ in thousands)	Fair Value		Unrealized Losses¹		Fair Value	Unrealized Losses¹		Fair Value	Unrealized Losses¹
AFS fixed income securities:
U.S. government and government agencies	$	19,058	(136	)	250	(1	)	19,308	(137	)
Obligations of states and political subdivisions	67,538		(432	)	—	—		67,538	(432	)
Corporate securities	108,011		(827	)	1,475	(18	)	109,486	(845	)
CLO and other ABS	88,636		(143	)	—	—		88,636	(143	)
CMBS	65,016		(245	)	5,216	(73	)	70,232	(318	)
RMBS	96,981		(558	)	592	(5	)	97,573	(563	)
Total AFS fixed income securities	445,240		(2,341	)	7,533	(97	)	452,773	(2,438	)
AFS equity securities:
Common stock	18,032		(1,342	)	—	—		18,032	(1,342	)
Preferred stock	3,886		(18	)	—	—		3,886	(18	)
Total AFS equity securities	21,918		(1,360	)	—	—		21,918	(1,360	)
Total AFS	$	467,158	(3,701	)	7,533	(97	)	474,691	(3,798	)

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December 31, 2016	Less than 12 months				12 months or longer			Total
($ in thousands)	Fair Value		Unrealized Losses¹		Fair Value	Unrealized Losses¹		Fair Value	Unrealized Losses¹
AFS fixed income securities:
U.S. government and government agencies	$	6,419	(36	)	—	—		6,419	(36	)
Foreign government	13,075		(16	)	—	—		13,075	(16	)
Obligations of states and political subdivisions	306,509		(5,304	)	—	—		306,509	(5,304	)
Corporate securities	462,902		(5,771	)	4,913	(89	)	467,815	(5,860	)
CLO and other ABS	189,795		(354	)	319	(1	)	190,114	(355	)
CMBS	82,492		(1,021	)	1,645	(7	)	84,137	(1,028	)
RMBS	279,480		(2,489	)	8,749	(309	)	288,229	(2,798	)
Total AFS fixed income securities	1,340,672		(14,991	)	15,626	(406	)	1,356,298	(15,397	)
AFS equity securities:
Common stock	11,271		(305	)	—	—		11,271	(305	)
Preferred stock	6,168		(355	)	—	—		6,168	(355	)
Total AFS equity securities	17,439		(660	)	—	—		17,439	(660	)
Total AFS	$	1,358,111	(15,651	)	15,626	(406	)	1,373,737	(16,057	)

¹Gross unrealized losses include non-OTTI unrealized amounts and OTTI losses recognized in AOCI.

We do not intend to sell any of the securities in the tables above, nor do we believe we will be required to sell any of these securities. We have also reviewed these securities under our OTTI policy, as described in Note 2. “Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” within Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of our 2016 Annual Report, and have concluded that they are temporarily impaired. This conclusion reflects our current judgment as to the financial position and future prospects of the entity that issued the investment security and underlying collateral.

(d) Fixed income securities at September 30, 2017, by contractual maturity, are shown below. Mortgage-backed securities ("MBS") are included in the maturity tables using the estimated average life of each security. Expected maturities may differ from contractual maturities because issuers may have the right to call or prepay obligations, with or without call or prepayment penalties.

Listed below are the contractual maturities of fixed income securities at September 30, 2017:



	AFS		HTM
($ in thousands)	Fair Value		Carrying Value	Fair Value
Due in one year or less	$	337,546	27,335	27,531
Due after one year through five years	2,148,949		29,341	31,037
Due after five years through 10 years	2,377,658		8,313	9,148
Due after 10 years	269,279		—	—
Total fixed income securities	$	5,133,432	64,989	67,716

(e) We evaluate the alternative investments and tax credit investments included in our other investments portfolio to determine whether those investments are VIEs and if so, whether consolidation is required. A VIE is an entity that either has equity investors that lack certain essential characteristics of a controlling financial interest or lacks sufficient funds to finance its own activities without financial support provided by other entities. We consider several significant factors in determining if our investments are VIEs and if we are the primary beneficiary, including whether we have: (i) the power to direct activities of the VIE; (ii) the ability to remove the decision maker of the VIE; (iii) the ability to participate in making decisions that are significant to the VIE; and (iv) the obligation to absorb losses and the right to receive benefits that could potentially be significant to the VIE. We have determined that the investments in our other investment portfolio are VIEs, but that we are not the primary beneficiary and therefore, consolidation is not required.

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The following table summarizes our other investment portfolio by strategy:



Other Investments	September 30, 2017				December 31, 2016
($ in thousands)	Carrying Value		Remaining Commitment	Maximum Exposure to Loss¹	Carrying Value	Remaining Commitment	Maximum Exposure to Loss¹
Alternative Investments
Private equity	$	47,654	81,478	129,132	41,135	76,774	117,909
Private credit	33,318		53,635	86,953	28,193	40,613	68,806
Real assets	21,649		31,466	53,115	14,486	22,899	37,385
Total alternative investments	102,621		166,579	269,200	83,814	140,286	224,100
Other securities	18,185		—	18,185	18,583	3,400	21,983
Total other investments	$	120,806	166,579	287,385	102,397	143,686	246,083

¹The maximum exposure to loss includes both the carry value of these investments and the related unfunded commitments. In addition, tax credits that have been previously recognized in Other securities are subject to the risk of recapture, which we do not consider significant.

We do not have a future obligation to fund losses or debts on behalf of the investments above; however, we are contractually committed to make additional investments up to the remaining commitment outlined above. We have not provided any non-contractual financial support at any time during 2017 or 2016.

For a description of our alternative investment strategies, as well as information regarding redemption, restrictions, and fund liquidations, refer to Note 5. “Investments” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of our 2016 Annual Report.

The following table sets forth gross summarized financial information for our other investments portfolio, including the portion not owned by us. The majority of these investments are carried under the equity method of accounting. The last line of the table below reflects our share of the aggregate income or loss, which is the portion included in our Financial Statements. As the majority of these investments report results to us on a one quarter lag, the summarized financial statement information for the three and nine-month periods ended June 30 is included in our Third Quarter and Nine Months results. This information is as follows:



Income Statement Information	Quarter ended September 30,					Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in millions)	2017			2016		2017		2016
Net investment (loss) income	$	(10.3	)	(55.4	)	(61.8	)	26.1
Realized gains (losses)	43.3			245.6		(261.0	)	1,186.8
Net change in unrealized appreciation (depreciation)	1,072.0			117.8		3,186.3		(1,132.8	)
Net gain	$	1,105.0		308.0		2,863.5		80.1
Selective’s insurance subsidiaries’ other investments gain	$	2.7		1.6		9.5		—

(f) We have pledged certain AFS fixed income securities as collateral related to our relationships with the Federal Home Loan Bank of Indianapolis ("FHLBI") and the Federal Home Loan Bank of New York ("FHLBNY"). In addition, certain securities were on deposit with various state and regulatory agencies at September 30, 2017 to comply with insurance laws. We retain all rights regarding all securities pledged as collateral.

The following table summarizes the market value of these securities at September 30, 2017:



($ in millions)	FHLBI Collateral		FHLBNY Collateral	State and Regulatory Deposits	Total
U.S. government and government agencies	$	3.0	—	22.8	25.8
Obligations of states and political subdivisions	—		—	3.2	3.2
CMBS	3.5		4.8	—	8.3
RMBS	58.7		49.6	—	108.3
Total pledged as collateral	$	65.2	54.4	26.0	145.6

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(g) We did not have exposure to any credit concentration risk of a single issuer greater than 10% of our stockholders' equity, other than certain U.S. government-backed investments, as of September 30, 2017 or December 31, 2016.

(h) The components of pre-tax net investment income earned were as follows:



	Quarter ended September 30,					Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)	2017			2016		2017			2016
Fixed income securities	$	38,865		32,453		$	113,424		95,850
Equity securities	1,605			1,506		4,492			5,940
Short-term investments	396			192		1,023			493
Other investments	2,659			1,628		9,493			(49	)
Investment expenses	(3,079		)	(2,404	)	(9,137		)	(6,908	)
Net investment income earned	$	40,446		33,375		$	119,295		95,326

(i) The following tables summarize OTTI by asset type for the periods indicated:



Third Quarter 2017	Gross		Included in Other Comprehensive Income ("OCI")		Recognized in Earnings
($ in thousands)	Gross		Included in Other Comprehensive Income ("OCI")		Recognized in Earnings
AFS fixed income securities:
Corporate securities	$	12	—		12
CLO and other ABS	11		—		11
RMBS	20		(30	)	50
Total OTTI losses	$	43	(30	)	73

Third Quarter 2016	Gross		Included in OCI		Recognized in Earnings
($ in thousands)	Gross		Included in OCI		Recognized in Earnings
AFS equity securities:
Common stock	$	342	—		342
Total AFS equity securities	342		—		342
Total OTTI losses	$	342	—		342

Nine Months 2017	Gross		Included in OCI		Recognized in Earnings
($ in thousands)	Gross		Included in OCI		Recognized in Earnings
AFS fixed income securities:
U.S. government and government agencies	$	31	—		31
Obligations of states and political subdivisions	612		—		612
Corporate securities	587		—		587
CLO and other ABS	96		—		96
CMBS	670		—		670
RMBS	1,183		(36	)	1,219
Total AFS fixed income securities	3,179		(36	)	3,215
AFS equity securities:
Common stock	1,360		—		1,360
Total AFS equity securities	1,360		—		1,360
Other Investments	190		—		190
Total OTTI losses	$	4,729	(36	)	4,765

Nine Months 2016	Gross		Included in OCI		Recognized in Earnings
($ in thousands)	Gross		Included in OCI		Recognized in Earnings
AFS fixed income securities:
Corporate securities	$	1,077	—		1,077
RMBS	98		10		88
Total AFS fixed income securities	1,175		10		1,165
AFS equity securities:
Common stock	3,316		—		3,316
Preferred stock	3		—		3
Total AFS equity securities	3,319		—		3,319
Total OTTI losses	$	4,494	10		4,484

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For a discussion of our evaluation for OTTI refer to Note 2. "Summary of Significant Accounting Policies" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of our 2016 Annual Report.

(j) The components of net realized gains, excluding OTTI charges, for the periods indicated were as follows:



	Quarter ended September 30,					Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)	2017			2016		2017		2016
HTM fixed income securities
Gains	$	—		—		44		3
Losses	—			—		(1	)	(1	)
AFS fixed income securities
Gains	2,070			2,204		8,337		3,189
Losses	(74		)	(40	)	(1,814	)	(81	)
AFS equity securities
Gains	4,875			1,863		5,225		4,364
Losses	—			—		—		(240	)
Other investments
Gains	—			3		480		3
Losses	—			—		(19	)	(4	)
Total net realized gains (excluding OTTI charges)	$	6,871		4,030		12,252		7,233

Realized gains and losses on the sale of investments are determined on the basis of the cost of the specific investments sold. Proceeds from the sale of AFS securities were $107.6 million and $27.0 million in Third Quarter 2017 and Third Quarter 2016, respectively and $831.0 million and $132.9 million in Nine Months 2017 and Nine Months 2016, respectively. This increase was primarily driven by opportunistic sales in our equity portfolio and higher trading volume in our fixed income securities portfolio related to the recent hiring of new external investment managers.

NOTE 5. Indebtedness

Our long-term debt balance has not changed since December 31, 2016. However, on February 28, 2017, Selective Insurance Company of America ("SICA") borrowed $64 million in short-term funds from the FHLBNY at an interest rate of 0.75%. This borrowing was repaid on March 21, 2017.

For detailed information on our indebtedness, see Note 10. "Indebtedness" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of our 2016 Annual Report.

NOTE 6. Fair Value Measurements

Our financial assets are measured at fair value as disclosed on the Consolidated Balance Sheets. The fair values of our long-term debt have improved since December 31, 2016, but none by more than 5% in the aggregate. For a discussion of the fair value and hierarchy of the techniques used to value our financial assets and liabilities, refer to Note 2. "Summary of Significant Accounting Policies" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of our 2016 Annual Report.

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The following tables provide quantitative disclosures of our financial assets that were measured at fair value at September 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016:



September 30, 2017			Fair Value Measurements Using
($ in thousands)	Assets Measured at Fair Value		Quoted Prices in Active Markets for Identical Assets/ Liabilities (Level 1)¹	Significant Other Observable Inputs (Level 2)¹	Significant Unobservable Inputs (Level 3)
Description
Measured on a recurring basis:
AFS fixed income securities:
U.S. government and government agencies	$	59,589	24,807	34,782	—
Foreign government	18,799		—	18,799	—
Obligations of states and political subdivisions	1,479,938		—	1,479,938	—
Corporate securities	1,793,834		—	1,793,834	—
CLO and other ABS	753,955		—	753,955	—
CMBS	308,104		—	308,104	—
RMBS	719,213		—	719,213	—
Total AFS fixed income securities	5,133,432		24,807	5,108,625	—
AFS equity securities:
Common stock	160,427		147,279	—	13,148
Preferred stock	14,845		14,845	—	—
Total AFS equity securities	175,272		162,124	—	13,148
Total AFS securities	5,308,704		186,931	5,108,625	13,148
Short-term investments	216,336		216,336	—	—
Total assets measured at fair value	$	5,525,040	403,267	5,108,625	13,148



December 31, 2016			Fair Value Measurements Using
($ in thousands)	Assets Measured at Fair Value		Quoted Prices in Active Markets for Identical Assets/Liabilities (Level 1)¹	Significant Other Observable Inputs (Level 2)¹	Significant Unobservable Inputs (Level 3)
Description
Measured on a recurring basis:
AFS fixed income securities:
U.S. government and government agencies	$	77,333	27,520	49,813	—
Foreign government	26,865		—	26,865	—
Obligations of states and political subdivisions	1,379,593		—	1,379,593	—
Corporate securities	1,997,753		—	1,997,753	—
CLO and other ABS	528,960		—	528,960	—
CMBS	256,842		—	256,842	—
RMBS	525,194		—	525,194	—
Total AFS fixed income securities	4,792,540		27,520	4,765,020	—
AFS equity securities:
Common stock	130,608		122,932	—	7,676
Preferred stock	16,145		16,145	—	—
Total AFS equity securities	146,753		139,077	—	7,676
Total AFS securities	4,939,293		166,597	4,765,020	7,676
Short-term investments	221,701		221,701	—	—
Total assets measured at fair value	$	5,160,994	388,298	4,765,020	7,676


¹	There were no transfers of securities between Level 1 and Level 2.

There were no material changes in the fair value of securities measured using Level 3 inputs since December 31, 2016.

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The following tables provide quantitative information regarding our financial assets and liabilities that were disclosed at fair value at September 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016:



September 30, 2017			Fair Value Measurements Using
($ in thousands)	Assets/ Liabilities Disclosed at Fair Value		Quoted Prices in Active Markets for Identical Assets/ Liabilities (Level 1)	Significant Other Observable Inputs (Level 2)	Significant Unobservable Inputs (Level 3)
Financial Assets
HTM:
Obligations of states and political subdivisions	$	48,123	—	48,123	—
Corporate securities	19,593		—	13,572	6,021
Total HTM fixed income securities	$	67,716	—	61,695	6,021

Financial Liabilities
Long-term debt:
7.25% Senior Notes	$	58,655	—	58,655	—
6.70% Senior Notes	112,312		—	112,312	—
5.875% Senior Notes	187,516		187,516	—	—
1.61% borrowings from FHLBNY	24,630		—	24,630	—
1.56% borrowings from FHLBNY	24,576		—	24,576	—
3.03% borrowings from FHLBI	61,057		—	61,057	—
Total long-term debt	$	468,746	187,516	281,230	—



December 31, 2016			Fair Value Measurements Using
($ in thousands)	Assets/ Liabilities Disclosed at Fair Value		Quoted Prices in Active Markets for Identical Assets/ Liabilities (Level 1)	Significant Other Observable Inputs (Level 2)	Significant Unobservable Inputs (Level 3)
Financial Assets
HTM:
Obligations of states and political subdivisions	$	79,916	—	79,916	—
Corporate securities	24,075		—	16,565	7,510
CMBS	1,220		—	1,220	—
Total HTM fixed income securities	$	105,211	—	97,701	7,510

Financial Liabilities
Long-term debt:
7.25% Senior Notes	$	56,148	—	56,148	—
6.70% Senior Notes	108,333		—	108,333	—
5.875% Senior Notes	176,860		176,860	—	—
1.61% borrowings from FHLBNY	24,286		—	24,286	—
1.56% borrowings from FHLBNY	24,219		—	24,219	—
3.03% borrowings from FHLBI	59,313		—	59,313	—
Total long-term debt	$	449,159	176,860	272,299	—

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NOTE 7. Reinsurance

The following table contains a listing of direct, assumed, and ceded reinsurance amounts for premiums written, premiums earned, and loss and loss expenses incurred for the periods indicated. For more information concerning reinsurance, refer to

Note 8. “Reinsurance” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of our 2016 Annual Report.



	Quarter ended September 30,					Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)	2017			2016		2017			2016
Premiums written:
Direct	$	706,918		669,844		$	2,097,146		1,981,984
Assumed	8,506			7,644		20,685			21,752
Ceded	(111,147		)	(98,715	)	(301,036		)	(281,464	)
Net	$	604,277		578,773		$	1,816,795		1,722,272
Premiums earned:
Direct	$	666,048		627,520		$	1,967,364		1,846,587
Assumed	7,623			7,163		19,465			20,604
Ceded	(101,616		)	(92,254	)	(285,890		)	(270,372	)
Net	$	572,055		542,429		$	1,700,939		1,596,819
Loss and loss expenses incurred:
Direct	$	455,728		428,520		$	1,187,400		1,152,223
Assumed	5,420			5,929		17,623			18,424
Ceded	(116,561		)	(118,191	)	(201,405		)	(258,766	)
Net	$	344,587		316,258		$	1,003,618		911,881

Ceded premiums and losses related to our participation in the NFIP, under which 100% of our flood premiums, losses, and loss expenses are ceded to the NFIP, are as follows:



Ceded to NFIP	Quarter ended September 30,					Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)	2017			2016		2017			2016
Ceded premiums written	$	(68,132	)	(62,051	)	$	(188,274	)	(179,205	)
Ceded premiums earned	(59,847		)	(56,505	)	(174,779		)	(169,986	)
Ceded loss and loss expenses incurred	(112,994		)	(99,200	)	(134,675		)	(164,179	)

NOTE 8. Reserves for Losses and Loss Expenses

The table below provides a roll forward of reserves for losses and loss expenses for beginning and ending reserve balances:



	Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)	2017			2016
Gross reserves for losses and loss expenses, at beginning of year	$	3,691,719		3,517,728
Less: reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses and loss expenses, at beginning of year	611,200			551,019
Net reserves for losses and loss expenses, at beginning of year	3,080,519			2,966,709
Incurred losses and loss expenses for claims occurring in the:
Current year	1,037,079			955,347
Prior years	(33,461		)	(43,466	)
Total incurred losses and loss expenses	1,003,618			911,881
Paid losses and loss expenses for claims occurring in the:
Current year	314,686			275,623
Prior years	581,186			547,067
Total paid losses and loss expenses	895,872			822,690
Net reserves for losses and loss expenses, at end of period	3,188,265			3,055,900
Add: Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses and loss expenses, at end of period	647,535			630,686
Gross reserves for losses and loss expenses at end of period	$	3,835,800		3,686,586

Prior year development in Nine Months 2017 of $33.5 million was primarily driven by favorable prior year casualty reserve development of $48.3 million in our general liability line of business and $29.3 million in our workers compensation line of business. This was partially offset by unfavorable casualty development of $26.0 million in our commercial automobile line of business, $10.0 million in our Excess and Surplus ("E&S") segment and $4.0 million in our personal automobile line of business.

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Prior year development in Nine Months 2016 of $43.5 million was primarily due to favorable casualty reserve development of $36.0 million in our workers compensation line of business and $33.0 million in our general liability line of business. This was partially offset by unfavorable casualty reserve development of $20.0 million in our commercial automobile line of business and $3.0 million in our E&S segment.

For a discussion of the trends and recent developments impacting these lines, refer to the "Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates" section of Item 7. "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations." in our 2016 Annual Report.

NOTE 9. Segment Information

The disaggregated results of our four reportable segments are used by senior management to manage our operations. These reportable segments are evaluated as follows:


•	Our Standard Commercial Lines, Standard Personal Lines, and E&S Lines are evaluated based on statutory underwriting results (net premiums earned, incurred losses and loss expenses, policyholder dividends, policy acquisition costs, and other underwriting expenses), and statutory combined ratios.


•	Our Investments segment is evaluated based on after-tax net investment income and net realized gains and losses.

In computing the results of each segment, we do not make adjustments for interest expense or net general corporate expenses; however, we do partially allocate taxes to various segments. Furthermore, we do not maintain separate investment portfolios for the segments and therefore, do not allocate assets to the segments.

The following summaries present revenues (net investment income and net realized gains on investments in the case of the Investments segment) and pre-tax income for the individual segments:



Revenue by Segment	Quarter ended September 30,				Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)	2017		2016		2017	2016
Standard Commercial Lines:
Net premiums earned:
Commercial automobile	$	111,711	100,612		327,156	294,927
Workers compensation	77,580		78,596		236,366	229,847
General liability	141,059		133,981		422,546	391,349
Commercial property	78,151		74,052		232,594	217,821
Businessowners’ policies	25,019		24,461		74,853	73,016
Bonds	7,420		5,795		20,904	16,924
Other	4,310		4,089		12,839	11,868
Miscellaneous income	1,712		1,925		7,588	6,182
Total Standard Commercial Lines revenue	446,962		423,511		1,334,846	1,241,934
Standard Personal Lines:
Net premiums earned:
Personal automobile	38,612		34,865		113,225	106,526
Homeowners	32,215		32,031		97,382	98,342
Other	1,774		1,794		4,867	4,851
Miscellaneous income	282		275		938	836
Total Standard Personal Lines revenue	72,883		68,965		216,412	210,555
E&S Lines:
Net premiums earned:
Commercial liability	40,090		38,991		117,056	112,787
Commercial property	14,114		13,162		41,151	38,561
Miscellaneous income	—		(1	)	—	—
Total E&S Lines revenue	54,204		52,152		158,207	151,348
Investments:
Net investment income	40,446		33,375		119,295	95,326
Net realized investment gains	6,798		3,688		7,487	2,749
Total Investments revenue	47,244		37,063		126,782	98,075
Total revenues	$	621,293	581,691		1,836,247	1,701,912

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Income Before Federal Income Tax	Quarter ended September 30,					Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)	2017			2016		2017		2016
Standard Commercial Lines:
Underwriting gain	$	35,329		30,124		112,634		101,229
GAAP combined ratio	92.1		%	92.9		91.5		91.8
Statutory combined ratio	91.7			92.0		90.2		90.1

Standard Personal Lines:
Underwriting gain	$	8,179		4,271		7,517		19,001
GAAP combined ratio	88.7		%	93.8		96.5		90.9
Statutory combined ratio	86.4			92.0		95.2		90.7

E&S Lines:
Underwriting loss	$	(11,063	)	(2,362	)	(8,174	)	(3,465	)
GAAP combined ratio	120.4		%	104.5		105.2		102.3
Statutory combined ratio	120.1			101.4		104.6		100.9

Investments:
Net investment income	$	40,446		33,375		119,295		95,326
Net realized investment gains	6,798			3,688		7,487		2,749
Total investment income, before federal income tax	47,244			37,063		126,782		98,075
Tax on investment income	13,236			9,752		34,572		24,290
Total investment income, after federal income tax	$	34,008		27,311		92,210		73,785



Reconciliation of Segment Results to Income Before Federal Income Tax	Quarter ended September 30,					Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)	2017			2016		2017		2016
Underwriting gain (loss), before federal income tax
Standard Commercial Lines	$	35,329		30,124		112,634		101,229
Standard Personal Lines	8,179			4,271		7,517		19,001
E&S Lines	(11,063		)	(2,362	)	(8,174	)	(3,465	)
Investment income, before federal income tax	47,244			37,063		126,782		98,075
Total all segments	79,689			69,096		238,759		214,840
Interest expense	(6,085		)	(5,714	)	(18,272	)	(16,940	)
General corporate and other expenses	(6,289		)	(7,939	)	(26,669	)	(28,271	)
Income, before federal income tax	$	67,315		55,443		193,818		169,629

NOTE 10. Retirement Plans

SICA's primary pension plan is the Retirement Income Plan for Selective Insurance Company of America (the “Pension Plan”). SICA also sponsors the Supplemental Excess Retirement Plan (the “Excess Plan”) and a life insurance benefit plan. All plans are closed to new entrants and benefits ceased accruing under the Pension Plan and the Excess Plan after March 31, 2016. For more information concerning SICA's retirement plans, refer to Note 14. “Retirement Plans” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of our 2016 Annual Report.

The following tables provide information regarding the Pension Plan:



	Pension Plan					Pension Plan
	Quarter ended September 30,					Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)	2017			2016		2017		2016
Net Periodic Benefit Cost:
Service cost	$	—		41		—		1,647
Interest cost	3,111			3,049		9,332		9,252
Expected return on plan assets	(4,854		)	(5,006	)	(14,563	)	(12,982	)
Amortization of unrecognized net actuarial loss	481			1,763		1,444		4,724
Total net periodic (benefit) cost	$	(1,262	)	(153	)	(3,787	)	2,641

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	Pension Plan
	Nine Months ended September 30,
	2017		2016
Weighted-Average Expense Assumptions:
Discount rate	4.41	%	4.69	%
Effective interest rate for calculation of service cost	n/a		4.89
Effective interest rate for calculation of interest cost	3.83		4.02
Expected return on plan assets	6.24		6.37
Rate of compensation increase	n/a		n/a

NOTE 11. Comprehensive Income

The components of comprehensive income, both gross and net of tax, for Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017 and 2016 were as follows:



Third Quarter 2017
($ in thousands)	Gross			Tax		Net
Net income	$	67,315		20,597		46,718
Components of OCI:
Unrealized gains on investment securities:
Unrealized holding gains during period	16,729			5,855		10,874
Non-credit portion of OTTI recognized in OCI	30			11		19
Amounts reclassified into net income:
HTM securities	(54		)	(19	)	(35	)
Non-credit OTTI	38			13		25
Realized gains on AFS securities	(6,760		)	(2,366	)	(4,394	)
Total unrealized gains on investment securities	9,983			3,494		6,489
Defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans:
Amounts reclassified into net income:
Net actuarial loss	507			178		329
Total defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans	507			178		329
Other comprehensive income	10,490			3,672		6,818
Comprehensive income	$	77,805		24,269		53,536


Third Quarter 2016
($ in thousands)	Gross			Tax		Net
Net income	$	55,443		16,941		38,502
Components of OCI:
Unrealized losses on investment securities:
Unrealized holding losses during period	(12,992		)	(4,548	)	(8,444	)
Amounts reclassified into net income:
HTM securities	(13		)	(4	)	(9	)
Realized gains on AFS securities	(3,684		)	(1,289	)	(2,395	)
Total unrealized losses on investment securities	(16,689		)	(5,841	)	(10,848	)
Defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans:
Amounts reclassified into net income:
Net actuarial loss	1,615			565		1,050
Total defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans	1,615			565		1,050
Other comprehensive loss	(15,074		)	(5,276	)	(9,798	)
Comprehensive income	$	40,369		11,665		28,704

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Nine Months 2017
($ in thousands)	Gross			Tax		Net
Net income	$	193,818		55,234		138,584
Components of OCI:
Unrealized gains on investment securities:
Unrealized holding gains during period	78,401			27,440		50,961
Non-credit portion of OTTI recognized in OCI	36			13		23
Amounts reclassified into net income:
HTM securities	(146		)	(51	)	(95	)
Non-credit OTTI	38			13		25
Realized gains on AFS securities	(7,135		)	(2,497	)	(4,638	)
Total unrealized gains on investment securities	71,194			24,918		46,276
Defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans:
Amounts reclassified into net income:
Net actuarial loss	1,522			533		989
Total defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans	1,522			533		989
Other comprehensive income	72,716			25,451		47,265
Comprehensive income	$	266,534		80,685		185,849


Nine Months 2016
($ in thousands)	Gross			Tax		Net
Net income	$	169,629		50,494		119,135
Components of OCI:
Unrealized gains on investment securities:
Unrealized holding gains during period	108,420			37,947		70,473
Non-credit portion of OTTI recognized in OCI	(10		)	(4	)	(6	)
Amounts reclassified into net income:
HTM securities	(104		)	(36	)	(68	)
Realized gains on AFS securities	(2,747		)	(961	)	(1,786	)
Total unrealized gains on investment securities	105,559			36,946		68,613
Defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans:
Amounts reclassified into net income:
Net actuarial loss	4,648			1,627		3,021
Total defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans	4,648			1,627		3,021
Other comprehensive income	110,207			38,573		71,634
Comprehensive income	$	279,836		89,067		190,769

The balances of, and changes in, each component of AOCI (net of taxes) as of September 30, 2017 were as follows:



September 30, 2017										Defined Benefit Pension and Post-Retirement Plans
	Net Unrealized Gains on Investment Securities											Total AOCI
($ in thousands)	OTTI Related			HTM Related		All Other		Investments Subtotal				Total AOCI
Balance, December 31, 2016	$	(150	)	102		42,170		42,122		(58,072	)	(15,950	)
OCI before reclassifications	23			—		50,961		50,984		—		50,984
Amounts reclassified from AOCI	25			(95	)	(4,638	)	(4,708	)	989		(3,719	)
Net current period OCI	48			(95	)	46,323		46,276		989		47,265
Balance, September 30, 2017	$	(102	)	7		88,493		88,398		(57,083	)	31,315

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The reclassifications out of AOCI were as follows:



	Quarter ended September 30,					Nine Months ended September 30,				Affected Line Item in the Unaudited Consolidated Statement of Income
($ in thousands)	2017			2016		2017		2016
OTTI related
Non-credit OTTI on disposed securities	$	38		—		38		—		Net realized gains
	38			—		38		—		Income before federal income tax
	(13		)	—		(13	)	—		Total federal income tax expense
	25			—		25		—		Net income
HTM related
Unrealized losses on HTM disposals	11			73		41		161		Net realized gains
Amortization of net unrealized gains on HTM securities	(65		)	(86	)	(187	)	(265	)	Net investment income earned
	(54		)	(13	)	(146	)	(104	)	Income before federal income tax
	19			4		51		36		Total federal income tax expense
	(35		)	(9	)	(95	)	(68	)	Net income
Realized gains on AFS and OTTI
Realized gains on AFS disposals and OTTI	(6,760		)	(3,684	)	(7,135	)	(2,747	)	Net realized gains
	(6,760		)	(3,684	)	(7,135	)	(2,747	)	Income before federal income tax
	2,366			1,289		2,497		961		Total federal income tax expense
	(4,394		)	(2,395	)	(4,638	)	(1,786	)	Net income
Defined benefit pension and post-retirement life plans
Net actuarial loss	110			351		331		1,009		Losses and loss expenses incurred
	397			1,264		1,191		3,639		Policy acquisition costs
Total defined benefit pension and post-retirement life	507			1,615		1,522		4,648		Income before federal income tax
	(178		)	(565	)	(533	)	(1,627	)	Total federal income tax expense
	329			1,050		989		3,021		Net income

Total reclassifications for the period	$	(4,075	)	(1,354	)	(3,719	)	1,167		Net income

NOTE 12. Related Party Transactions

BlackRock, Inc., a leading publicly traded investment management firm (“BlackRock”), has purchased our common shares in the ordinary course of its investment business and has previously filed Schedules 13G/A with the SEC. On April 10, 2017, BlackRock filed a Schedule 13G/A reporting beneficial ownership as of March 31, 2017, of 12.7% of our common stock. In connection with purchasing our common shares, BlackRock filed the necessary filings with insurance regulatory authorities. On the basis of those filings, BlackRock is deemed not to be a controlling person for the purposes of applicable insurance law.

We are required to disclose related party information for our transactions with BlackRock. BlackRock is highly regulated, serves its clients as a fiduciary, and has a diverse platform of active (alpha) and index (beta) investment strategies across asset classes that enables it to tailor investment outcomes and asset allocation solutions for clients. BlackRock also offers the BlackRock Solutions^® investment and risk management technology platform, Aladdin^®, risk analytics, advisory and technology services and solutions to a broad base of institutional and wealth management investors. In Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017, we incurred expenses related to BlackRock of $0.5 million and $1.5 million for services rendered, respectively. No material expenses were incurred with BlackRock in Third Quarter 2016 and Nine Months 2016. Amounts payable for such services at September 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016, were $0.5 million and $0.4 million, respectively. All contracts with BlackRock were consummated in the ordinary course of business on an arm's-length basis.

We have no additional material transactions with related parties other than those disclosed in Note 16. "Related Party Transactions" included in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of our 2016 Annual Report.

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NOTE 13. Litigation

In the ordinary course of conducting business, we are named as defendants in various legal proceedings. Most of these proceedings are claims litigation involving our ten insurance subsidiaries ("Insurance Subsidiaries") as either: (i) liability insurers defending or providing indemnity for third-party claims brought against our customers; or (ii) insurers defending first-party coverage claims brought against them. We account for such activity through the establishment of unpaid losses and loss expense reserves. We expect that any potential ultimate liability in such ordinary course claims litigation will not be material to our consolidated financial condition, results of operations, or cash flows after consideration of provisions made for potential losses and costs of defense.

From time to time, our Insurance Subsidiaries also are named as defendants in other legal actions, some of which assert claims for substantial amounts. These actions include, among others, putative class actions seeking certification of a state or national class. Such putative class actions have alleged, for example, improper reimbursement of medical providers paid under workers compensation and personal and commercial automobile insurance policies. Similarly, our Insurance Subsidiaries are also named from time-to-time in individual actions seeking extra-contractual damages, punitive damages, or penalties, some of which allege bad faith in the handling of insurance claims. We believe that we have valid defenses to these cases. We expect that any potential ultimate liability in any such lawsuit will not be material to our consolidated financial condition, after consideration of provisions made for estimated losses. Nonetheless, given the inherent unpredictability of litigation and the large or indeterminate amounts sought in certain of these actions, an adverse outcome in certain matters could possibly have a material adverse effect on our consolidated results of operations or cash flows in particular quarterly or annual periods.

As of September 30, 2017, we do not believe the Company was involved in any legal action that could have a material adverse effect on our consolidated financial condition, results of operations, or cash flows.

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ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS.

Forward-Looking Statements

As used herein, the "Company," "we," "us," or "our" refers to Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the "Parent"), and its subsidiaries, except as expressly indicated or unless the context otherwise requires. In this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, we discuss and make statements regarding our intentions, beliefs, current expectations, and projections regarding our company’s future operations and performance. Such statements are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are often identified by words such as “anticipates,” “believes,” “expects,” “will,” “should,” and “intends” and their negatives. We caution prospective investors that such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. Risks and uncertainties are inherent in our future performance. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated by such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, those discussed under Item 1A. “Risk Factors” below in Part II. “Other Information.” These risk factors may not be exhaustive. We operate in a continually changing business environment and new risk factors emerge from time to time. We can neither predict such new risk factors nor can we assess the impact, if any, of such new risk factors on our businesses or the extent to which any factor or combination of factors may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements in this report. In light of these risks, uncertainties, and assumptions, the forward-looking events discussed in this report might not occur. We make forward-looking statements based on currently available information and assume no obligation to update these statements due to changes in underlying factors, new information, future developments, or otherwise.

Introduction

The Parent, through its ten insurance subsidiaries, collectively referred to as the "Insurance Subsidiaries", offers property and casualty insurance products in the standard and excess and surplus ("E&S") marketplaces. We classify our business into four reportable segments, which are as follows:


•	Standard Commercial Lines;


•	Standard Personal Lines;


•	E&S Lines; and


•	Investments.

For further details regarding these segments, refer to Note 9. "Segment Information" in Item 1. "Financial Statements." of this Form 10-Q and Note 11. "Segment Information" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2016 ("2016 Annual Report").

Our Standard Commercial and Standard Personal Lines products and services are written through nine of our Insurance Subsidiaries, some of which write flood business through the Write Your Own ("WYO") program of the National Flood Insurance Program ("NFIP"). Our E&S products and services are written through one subsidiary, Mesa Underwriters Specialty Insurance Company ("MUSIC"). This subsidiary provides us with a nationally-authorized non-admitted platform to offer insurance products and services to customers who have not obtained coverage in the standard marketplace.

The following is Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) of the consolidated results of operations and financial condition, as well as known trends and uncertainties, that may have a material impact in future periods. Consequently, investors should read the MD&A in conjunction with Item 1. "Financial Statements." of this Form 10-Q and the consolidated financial statements in our 2016 Annual Report filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC").

In the MD&A, we will discuss and analyze the following:


•	Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates;


•	Financial Highlights of Results for the third quarters ended September 30, 2017 (“Third Quarter 2017”) and September 30, 2016 (“Third Quarter 2016”) and the nine-month periods ended September 30, 2017 ("Nine Months 2017") and September 30, 2016 ("Nine Months 2016");


•	Results of Operations and Related Information by Segment;


•	Federal Income Taxes;


•	Financial Condition, Liquidity, and Capital Resources;


•	Ratings;


•	Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements; and


•	Contractual Obligations, Contingent Liabilities, and Commitments.

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Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates

Our unaudited interim consolidated financial statements include amounts based on our informed estimates and judgments for those transactions that are not yet complete. Such estimates and judgments affect the reported amounts in the consolidated financial statements. Those estimates and judgments that were most critical to the preparation of the consolidated financial statements involved the following: (i) reserves for loss and loss expenses; (ii) pension and post-retirement benefit plan actuarial assumptions; (iii) investment valuation and other-than-temporary-impairments ("OTTI"); and (iv) reinsurance. These estimates and judgments require the use of assumptions about matters that are highly uncertain and, therefore, are subject to change as facts and circumstances develop. If different estimates and judgments had been applied, materially different amounts might have been reported in the financial statements. For additional information regarding our critical accounting policies, refer to pages 37 through 45 of our 2016 Annual Report.

Financial Highlights of Results for Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017 and Third Quarter and Nine Months 2016¹



($ and shares in thousands, except per share amounts)	Quarter ended September 30,				Change % or Points			Nine Months ended September 30,				Change % or Points
($ and shares in thousands, except per share amounts)	2017			2016	Change % or Points			2017			2016	Change % or Points
Generally Accepted Accounting Principles ("GAAP") measures:
Revenues	$	621,293		581,691	7		%	$	1,836,247		1,701,912	8		%
After-tax net investment income	29,590			24,913	19			87,344			71,998	21
Pre-tax net income	67,315			55,443	21			193,818			169,629	14
Net income	46,718			38,502	21			138,584			119,135	16
Diluted net income per share	0.79			0.66	20			2.34			2.03	15
Diluted weighted-average outstanding shares	59,323			58,731	1			59,232			58,612	1
GAAP combined ratio	94.3		%	94.1	0.2		pts	93.4		%	92.7	0.7		pts
Statutory combined ratio	93.7			92.9	0.8			92.2			91.2	1.0
Invested assets per dollar of stockholders' equity	$	3.36		3.41	(1	)	%	$	3.36		3.41	(1	)	%
After-tax yield on investments	2.1		%	1.9	0.2		pts	2.1		%	1.8	0.3		pts
Annualized return on average equity ("ROE")	11.2			9.8	1.4			11.4			10.7	0.7
Non-GAAP measures:
Operating income²	$	42,300		36,104	17		%	$	133,718		117,348	14		%
Diluted operating income per share²	0.72			0.62	16			2.26			2.00	13
Annualized operating ROE²	10.1		%	9.2	0.9		pts	11.0		%	10.5	0.5		pts


¹	Refer to the Glossary of Terms attached to our 2016 Annual Report as Exhibit 99.1 for definitions of terms used in this Form 10-Q.


²	Operating income is used as an important financial measure by us, analysts, and investors, because the realization of investment gains and losses on sales in any given period is largely discretionary as to timing. In addition, these realized investment gains and losses, as well as OTTI that are charged to earnings and the results of discontinued operations, could distort the analysis of trends.

Reconciliations of net income, net income per share, and annualized ROE to operating income, operating income per share, and annualized operating ROE, respectively, are provided in the tables below:



Reconciliation of net income to operating income	Quarter ended September 30,					Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)	2017			2016		2017		2016
Net income	$	46,718		38,502		138,584		119,135
Exclude: Net realized gains	(6,798		)	(3,688	)	(7,487	)	(2,749	)
Exclude: Tax on net realized gains	2,380			1,290		2,621		962
Operating income	$	42,300		36,104		133,718		117,348



Reconciliation of net income per share to operating income per share	Quarter ended September 30,					Nine Months ended September 30,
	2017			2016		2017		2016
Diluted net income per share	$	0.79		0.66		2.34		2.03
Exclude: Net realized gains per share	(0.11		)	(0.06	)	(0.13	)	(0.05	)
Exclude: Tax on net realized gains per share	0.04			0.02		0.05		0.02
Diluted operating income per share	$	0.72		0.62		2.26		2.00

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Reconciliation of annualized ROE to annualized operating ROE	Quarter ended September 30,				Nine Months ended September 30,
	2017		2016		2017		2016
Insurance segments	5.0	%	5.3	%	6.0	%	6.8
Investment income¹	7.1		6.4		7.2		6.5
Other	(2.0	)	(2.5	)	(2.2	)	(2.8	)
Net realized gains	1.6		0.9		0.6		0.2
Tax on net realized gains	(0.5	)	(0.3	)	(0.2	)	—
Annualized ROE	11.2	%	9.8		11.4		10.7
Exclude: Net realized gains	(1.6	)	(0.9	)	(0.6	)	(0.2	)
Exclude: Tax on net realized gains	0.5		0.3		0.2		—
Annualized operating ROE	10.1	%	9.2		11.0		10.5

¹Investment segment results are the combination of "Net investment income earned," "Net realized gains," and "Tax on net realized gains."

Our Nine Months 2017 results continue to reflect our efforts to: (i) drive renewal pure price increases at the account level within our Standard Commercial Lines segment and overall rate level increases in our Standard Personal Lines segment; (ii) generate new business; and (iii) improve the underlying profitability of our business through various underwriting and claims initiatives. Our net premiums written ("NPW") growth of 5% for Nine Months 2017 was driven by our strong franchise value with our "ivy league" distribution partners. For more than eight years, our Standard Commercial Lines renewal pure price increases have cumulatively outperformed the Willis Towers Watson Commercial Lines Pricing (or CLIPs) survey by approximately 1,900 basis points, while maintaining high retention rates. In addition, NPW growth was aided by the net appointment of 81 additional retail agents in 2016 and 56 retail agents in Nine Months 2017, which is exclusive of 27 agents that have been appointed in our new states of Arizona and New Hampshire and our targeted geographic expansion state of Colorado.

In addition to the cumulative pure renewal price increases we have achieved over the past several years, we have driven underwriting and claims process enhancements, and we have added higher quality accounts. For example, our workers compensation book of business, which represents approximately 18% of our Standard Commercial Lines business, continues to benefit from the steps we have taken in recent years to increase premium rates and improve business mix by shifting towards lower hazard and smaller accounts from higher hazard and larger accounts. Additionally, claims initiatives, such as reducing workers compensation medical costs through more favorable Preferred Provider Organization ("PPO") contracts and greater PPO penetration, have helped improve profitability of this line. The workers compensation statutory combined ratio was a profitable 85.1% in Nine Months 2017. For a full discussion of the claims initiatives that we have deployed, refer to the “Reserves for Losses and Loss Expenses” section within Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates in Item 7. “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.” of our 2016 Annual Report.

Our commercial automobile line of business has been unprofitable in recent years and remains an area of focus as we are taking steps to improve profitability in this line of business. In Third Quarter 2017, we recorded unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development and an increase to current year loss costs for this line. We will continue to actively implement renewal pure price increases on this line, which have averaged 6.7% in Nine Months 2017. We have also been managing our in-force book of business in targeted industry segments and we have been reducing exposures to higher hazard classes to improve the underlying profitability of this business.

Our E&S Lines segment also remains a focus area, with a combined ratio of 120.4% for Third Quarter 2017 and 105.2% for Nine Months 2017. We face a competitive environment in this segment, and our pricing and underwriting initiatives aimed at improving profitability have resulted in a decline in new business volume in both the quarter and year-to-date periods, although we expect this decline to be temporary.

After-tax net investment income grew 21% in Nine Months 2017 compared to Nine Months 2016, driven by higher yields on our fixed income securities portfolio and improved returns on our alternative investments portfolio. We are continuing the more active management approach to our investment portfolio that we deployed in 2016 to maximize the after-tax income and total return of the portfolio, while maintaining a similar level of credit quality and duration risk. We have increased our long-term target risk asset allocation and modestly increased our exposure to non-investment grade fixed income securities, private equity investments, and private credit strategies to further diversify our allocation within risk assets. Our risk assets, which include public equities, non-investment grade fixed income securities, private equity investments, and other limited partnership private investments, represented 7.6% of our total invested assets at September 30, 2017 and may increase to approximately 10% over time.

Underwriting profitability and the more active management of our investment portfolio contributed to our long-term goal of generating an operating ROE that is approximately 300 basis points in excess of our weighted average cost of capital over time.

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Our annualized operating ROE increased in Nine Months 2017 to 11.0%, compared to 10.5% in Nine Months 2016, mainly due to the increase in investment income mentioned above and a reduction in corporate expenses. These improvements were partially offset by higher catastrophe losses in 2017 that adversely impacted our insurance segments. Third Quarter 2017 is expected to be a record for the property and casualty insurance industry in terms of insured catastrophe losses, which according to some modeling agencies, could exceed $100 billion in the aggregate. Despite the occurrence of these major events, our results this year continued to be strong and the two U.S. landfalling hurricanes added a modest 2.5 points to our combined ratio for Third Quarter 2017. This is, in part, a result of our continued focus on our initiative to shift business towards lower hazard and smaller accounts from higher hazard and larger accounts, and our prudent underwriting risk appetite.

Insurance Segments

The key metric in understanding our insurance segments’ contribution to annualized operating ROE is the GAAP combined ratio. The following table provides a quantitative foundation for analyzing this ratio:



All Lines	Quarter ended September 30,				Change % or Points			Nine Months ended September 30,				Change % or Points
($ in thousands)	2017			2016	Change % or Points			2017			2016	Change % or Points
GAAP Insurance Operations Results:
NPW	$	604,277		578,773	4		%	$	1,816,795		1,722,272	5		%
Net premiums earned (“NPE”)	572,055			542,429	5			1,700,939			1,596,819	7
Less:
Losses and loss expenses incurred	344,587			316,258	9			1,003,618			911,881	10
Net underwriting expenses incurred	193,975			193,597	—			582,469			564,361	3
Dividends to policyholders	1,048			541	94			2,875			3,812	(25	)
Underwriting gain	$	32,445		32,033	1		%	$	111,977		116,765	(4	)	%
GAAP Ratios:
Loss and loss expense ratio	60.2		%	58.3	1.9		pts	59.0		%	57.1	1.9		pts
Underwriting expense ratio	33.9			35.7	(1.8	)		34.2			35.4	(1.2	)
Dividends to policyholders ratio	0.2			0.1	0.1			0.2			0.2	—
Combined ratio	94.3			94.1	0.2			93.4			92.7	0.7
Statutory Ratios:
Loss and loss expense ratio	60.3			58.3	2.0			59.0			57.0	2.0
Underwriting expense ratio	33.2			34.5	(1.3	)		33.0			34.0	(1.0	)
Dividends to policyholders ratio	0.2			0.1	0.1			0.2			0.2	—
Combined ratio	93.7		%	92.9	0.8		pts	92.2		%	91.2	1.0		pts

The GAAP loss and loss expense ratio increased 1.9 points in Third Quarter 2017 and Nine Months 2017 compared to the same prior year periods, driven by:



	Third Quarter 2017						Third Quarter 2016
($ in millions)	Losses and Loss Expenses Incurred			Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio			Losses and Loss Expenses Incurred			Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio			Change in Ratio
Catastrophe losses	$	23.7		4.1		pts	$	10.4		1.9		pts	2.2		pts
Favorable prior year casualty reserve development	(9.9		)	(1.7	)		(19.0		)	(3.5	)		1.8
Non-catastrophe property losses	71.8			12.6			78.5			14.5			(1.9	)
Total	85.6			15.0			69.9			12.9			2.1


	Nine Months 2017						Nine Months 2016
($ in millions)	Losses and Loss Expenses Incurred			Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio			Losses and Loss Expenses Incurred			Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio			Change in Ratio
Catastrophe losses	$	65.3		3.8		pts	$	33.2		2.1		pts	1.7		pts
Favorable prior year casualty reserve development	(38.6		)	(2.3	)		(46.0		)	(2.9	)		0.6
Non-catastrophe property losses	216.5			12.7			209.2			13.1			(0.4	)
Total	243.2			14.2			196.4			12.3			1.9

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Third Quarter 2017 catastrophe losses of $23.7 million were driven by the following hurricane activity: (i) $8.2 million, or 1.4 points, related to Hurricane Irma; and (ii) $6.2 million, or 1.1 points, related to Hurricane Harvey. The remaining catastrophe losses in the quarter were from smaller events and development on events that occurred in the first half of 2017.

Details of the favorable prior year casualty reserve development were as follows:



(Favorable)/Unfavorable Prior Year Casualty Reserve Development	Quarter ended September 30,						Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in millions)	2017				2016		2017		2016
General liability	$	(10.9	)		(11.0	)	(48.3	)	(33.0	)
Commercial automobile	5.0				7.0		26.0		20.0
Workers compensation	(14.0		)		(15.0	)	(29.3	)	(36.0	)
Bonds	—				—		(2.0	)	—
Total Standard Commercial Lines	(19.9		)		(19.0	)	(53.6	)	(49.0	)

Homeowners	—				—		1.0		—
Personal automobile	—				—		4.0		—
Total Standard Personal Lines	—				—		5.0		—

E&S	10.0				—		10.0		3.0

Total (favorable) prior year casualty reserve development	$	(9.9	)		(19.0	)	(38.6	)	(46.0	)

(Favorable) impact on loss ratio	(1.7		)	pts	(3.5	)	(2.3	)	(2.9	)

For a qualitative discussion of this reserve development, please refer to the respective insurance segment section below in

"Results of Operations and Related Information by Segment."

The increases in the GAAP loss and loss expense ratio in both periods were partially offset by improvements in the GAAP underwriting expense ratio of 1.8 points in Third Quarter 2017 and 1.2 points in Nine Months 2017 compared to the same periods last year. This underwriting expense ratio reduction was due, in part, to:


•	A 0.7-point and 0.5-point decrease in commissions to our distribution partners in Third Quarter 2017 and Nine Months 2017, respectively due to lower supplemental commission expense, as well as lower base commission expenses that were driven by targeted actions we took in Third Quarter 2016 on our homeowners book of business;

•

A 0.2-point and 0.3-point decrease in pension expense in Third Quarter 2017 and Nine Months 2017, respectively, reflecting expected returns on pension plan assets that have outpaced expenses in the current year periods. As our pension plan ceased accruing benefits on March 31, 2016, we extended the amortization period for the net actuarial loss from the average remaining service life of active participants to the average remaining life expectancy of plan participants, which drove the decrease in plan expenses. For additional information on our pension plan, refer to Note 10. "Retirement Plans" in Item 1. "Financial Statements." of this Form 10-Q; and


•	A 0.6-point and 0.5-point decrease in labor expenses as a percentage of premium in Third Quarter 2017 and Nine Months 2017, respectively, as we recognized productivity gains from the growth of our business.

Investments Segment

In total, our investment segment contributed 8.2 points to our overall annualized ROE in Third Quarter 2017 and 7.6 points in Nine Months 2017, compared to 7.0 points in Third Quarter 2016 and 6.7 points in Nine Months 2016. These increases were driven by improved yields on our fixed income securities portfolio. Additionally, our alternative investments portfolio reported pre-tax income of $2.7 million in Third Quarter 2017 and $9.5 million in Nine Months 2017, compared to pre-tax income of $1.6 million in Third Quarter 2016 and no income in Nine Months 2016. Returns in our alternative investments portfolio in 2016 were negatively impacted by investments in the energy sector.

Other

Our other expenses, which are primarily comprised of stock compensation expense at the holding company level, reduced our overall annualized ROE by 2.0 points in Third Quarter 2017 and 2.2 points in Nine Months 2017, compared to 2.5 points in Third Quarter 2016 and 2.8 points in Nine Months 2016. In 2017, we restructured our newly-issued stock compensation awards to be more aligned with grant date fair value expense treatment and lowered the allocation to awards that require fair value adjustments subsequent to grant date. However, the 25% increase in our stock price during Nine Months 2017 has resulted in fair value adjustments to our outstanding awards that have partially offset the savings associated with the structural changes. Additionally, Nine Months 2017 included a tax benefit associated with stock compensation activity from the first quarter that benefited our overall annualized ROE by 0.3 points.

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For additional information on the tax effects of share-based compensation, refer to Note 2. "Adoption of Accounting Pronouncements" in Item 1. "Financial Statements." of this Form 10-Q.

Outlook

The insurance industry incurred a record level of catastrophe losses with some estimates for the three hurricanes, Harvey, Irma and Maria, exceeding $100 billion in the aggregate. Our third quarter results remained solid despite the elevated level of industry catastrophe losses, benefiting from our geographic concentration in the Northeast and Mid Atlantic states and our prudent underwriting risk appetite. These industry losses will likely serve as a reminder to anticipate and price for expected catastrophe losses. As increases in reinsurance costs will likely be seen in the marketplace going forward, particularly for loss-impacted property catastrophe reinsurance programs, these costs may ultimately result in improving primary property rates as well.

Internally, we continue to seek additional growth opportunities in our insurance operations while achieving rate and working towards our profit targets. Our NPW growth has exceeded the industry’s growth rate, while we are generating solid underwriting margins. In addition, we have about a 1.3% standard commercial lines market share in our long-term 22 state footprint and the District of Columbia, and our long-term goal is to increase this market share to approximately 3%. By offering our distribution partners superior technology solutions and customer experience, we are targeting a 12% share of the standard commercial lines business within our independent agencies, which we refer to as our "share of wallet." As of September 30, 2017, our share of wallet with agencies with which we have an established relationship was approximately 8%. We are also seeking to increase our agency appointments over time to represent a 25% market share of the states in which we are fully operational, from our current 18% share. We believe our relationships with our distribution partners are among the strongest in the industry and underpin our success. During Nine Months 2017, we appointed 83 of the 85 new agents we are planning for this year, net of agency terminations.

Effective July 1, 2017, we opened Arizona and New Hampshire for Standard Commercial Lines business. We have appointed a total of 26 agents in these states, with appointments in each state controlling about 25% of that state's available commercial lines premium. We began quoting business during the second quarter of 2017, with policies being effective on or after July 1, 2017. Direct premiums written in these states in Third Quarter 2017 totaled $5.6 million. Our approach to entering these states has been consistent with our agent franchise business model, which is predicated around our field-based underwriting, claims, and customer service. We expect to open Colorado for Standard Commercial Lines business in early 2018 and Utah and New Mexico later in 2018.

In our Investments segment, we generated after-tax net investment income of $87.3 million in Nine Months 2017 and are on track to exceed our original full year guidance. Our challenge in 2017 is navigating the increased market volatility that may accompany uncertainty regarding fiscal and monetary policy changes. We are positioning ourselves for a more competitive environment with a focus on generating adequate returns for our shareholders. We are preparing ourselves for changes in a period of heightened uncertainty surrounding interest rates, tax law changes, legislative changes, and inflation. We also have a number of internal strategic initiatives in place to enhance our technological offerings to our agents, while improving the overall customer experience.

After three quarters of results, we are increasing our full-year 2017 after-tax net investment income guidance by $2 million, to $115 million, with all other assumptions remaining the same. Our full-year expectations are as follows:


•	A statutory combined ratio, excluding catastrophe losses, of approximately 89.5%. This assumes no prior year casualty reserve development in the fourth quarter;


•	Catastrophe losses of 3.5 points;


•	After-tax net investment income of $115 million; and


•	Weighted average shares of approximately 59.2 million.

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Results of Operations and Related Information by Segment

Standard Commercial Lines



	Quarter ended September 30,				Change % or Points			Nine Months ended September 30,				Change % or Points
($ in thousands)	2017			2016	Change % or Points			2017			2016	Change % or Points
GAAP Insurance Operations Results:
NPW	$	472,051		449,544	5		%	$	1,434,516		1,353,615	6		%
NPE	445,250			421,586	6			1,327,258			1,235,752	7
Less:
Losses and loss expenses incurred	254,870			238,215	7			749,310			683,183	10
Net underwriting expenses incurred	154,003			152,706	1			462,439			447,528	3
Dividends to policyholders	1,048			541	94			2,875			3,812	(25	)
Underwriting gain	$	35,329		30,124	17		%	$	112,634		101,229	11		%
GAAP Ratios:
Loss and loss expense ratio	57.3		%	56.5	0.8		pts	56.5		%	55.3	1.2		pts
Underwriting expense ratio	34.6			36.3	(1.7	)		34.8			36.2	(1.4	)
Dividends to policyholders ratio	0.2			0.1	0.1			0.2			0.3	(0.1	)
Combined ratio	92.1			92.9	(0.8	)		91.5			91.8	(0.3	)
Statutory Ratios:
Loss and loss expense ratio	57.4			56.5	0.9			56.5			55.2	1.3
Underwriting expense ratio	34.1			35.4	(1.3	)		33.5			34.6	(1.1	)
Dividends to policyholders ratio	0.2			0.1	0.1			0.2			0.3	(0.1	)
Combined ratio	91.7		%	92.0	(0.3	)	pts	90.2		%	90.1	0.1		pts

The increases in NPW in Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017 compared to Third Quarter and Nine Months 2016 were driven by: (i) direct new business; (ii) renewal pure price increases; and (iii) strong retention.



	Quarter ended September 30,				Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in millions)	2017			2016	2017			2016
Retention	85		%	84	84		%	83
Renewal pure price increases	2.7			2.5	2.9			2.6
Direct new business	$	96.9		89.2	$	284.4		272.4

The NPE increases in Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017 compared to Third Quarter and Nine Months 2016 were consistent with the fluctuation in NPW for the twelve-month period ended September 30, 2017 compared with the twelve-month period ended September 30, 2016.

The GAAP loss and loss expense ratio increased 0.8 points in Third Quarter 2017 compared to Third Quarter 2016 and 1.2 points in Nine Months 2017 compared to Nine Months 2016. This increase was driven by the following:



	Third Quarter 2017						Third Quarter 2016
($ in millions)	Losses and Loss Expenses Incurred			Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio			Losses and Loss Expenses Incurred			Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio			Change in Ratio
Catastrophe losses	$	14.3		3.2		pts	$	6.2		1.5		pts	1.7		pts
Non-catastrophe property losses	49.1			11.0			51.6			12.2			(1.2	)
Favorable prior year casualty reserve development	(19.9		)	(4.5	)		(19.0		)	(4.5	)		—
Total	43.5			9.7			38.8			9.2			0.5


	Nine Months 2017						Nine Months 2016
($ in millions)	Losses and Loss Expenses Incurred			Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio			Losses and Loss Expenses Incurred			Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio			Change in Ratio
Catastrophe losses	$	38.1		2.9		pts	$	21.5		1.7		pts	1.2		pts
Non-catastrophe property losses	147.0			11.1			136.8			11.1			—
Favorable prior year casualty reserve development	(53.6		)	(4.0	)		(49.0		)	(4.0	)		—
Total	131.5			10.0			109.3			8.8			1.2

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For additional information regarding the favorable prior year casualty reserve development by line of business, see the "Financial Highlights of Results for Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017 and Third Quarter and Nine Months 2016" section above and the line of business discussions below.

The GAAP underwriting expense ratio decreased 1.7 points in Third Quarter 2017 and 1.4 points in Nine Months 2017 compared to the same prior year periods due primarily to the following:


•	Lower supplemental and base commissions to our distribution partners of approximately 0.5 points in the quarter and 0.4 points in the year-to-date period;


•	Lower pension expense of 0.2 points in the quarter and 0.3 points in the year-to-date period; and


•	Decreases in labor expenses as a percentage of premium as we recognized productivity gains from the growth of our business.

The following is a discussion of our most significant Standard Commercial Lines of business and their respective statutory results:



General Liability
	Quarter ended September 30,				Change % or Points			Nine Months ended September 30,				Change % or Points
($ in thousands)	2017			2016	Change % or Points			2017			2016	Change % or Points
Statutory NPW	$	147,858		141,556	4		%	$	461,716		431,751	7		%
Direct new business	28,067			25,646	9			84,986			80,622	5
Retention	85		%	84	1		pts	83		%	83	—		pts
Renewal pure price increases	2.4			1.7	0.7			2.5			1.8	0.7
Statutory NPE	$	141,059		133,981	5		%	$	422,546		391,349	8		%
Statutory combined ratio	83.1		%	84.7	(1.6	)	pts	78.2		%	83.9	(5.7	)	pts
% of total statutory Standard Commercial Lines NPW	31			31				32			32

The statutory combined ratio decrease in Third Quarter 2017 compared to Third Quarter 2016 was driven primarily by: (i) lower supplemental commissions to our distribution partners of 0.7 points; and (ii) a decrease in current year loss costs that reduced the combined ratio by 0.3 points. These were partially offset by lower favorable prior year casualty reserve development, as illustrated in the table below.

The statutory combined ratio decrease in Nine Months 2017 compared to Nine Months 2016 was driven primarily by: (i) favorable prior year casualty reserve development, as illustrated in the table below; (ii) lower supplemental commissions to our distribution partners of 0.6 points; (iii) a decrease in current year loss costs that reduced the combined ratio by 0.4 points; and (iv) lower pension expense of 0.4 points.



	Third Quarter 2017						Third Quarter 2016
($ in millions)	(Benefit) Expense			Impact on Combined Ratio			(Benefit) Expense			Impact on Combined Ratio			Change Points
Favorable prior year casualty reserve development	$	(10.9	)	(7.7	)	pts	$	(11.0	)	(8.2	)	pts	0.5		pts


	Nine Months 2017						Nine Months 2016
($ in millions)	(Benefit) Expense			Impact on Combined Ratio			(Benefit) Expense			Impact on Combined Ratio			Change Points
Favorable prior year casualty reserve development	$	(48.3	)	(11.4	)	pts	$	(33.0	)	(8.4	)	pts	(3.0	)	pts

The significant drivers of the development were as follows:


•	Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017: Development was primarily attributable to lower claims frequencies and severities primarily in accident years 2015 and prior, particularly in the products liability and excess liability segments.


•	Third Quarter and Nine Months 2016: Development was primarily attributable to lower claims frequencies and severities in the 2012 through 2014 accident years, particularly in the products liability and excess liability segments.

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Commercial Automobile
	Quarter ended September 30,				Change % or Points			Nine Months ended September 30,				Change % or Points
($ in thousands)	2017			2016	Change % or Points			2017			2016	Change % or Points
Statutory NPW	$	121,749		108,655	12		%	$	358,198		325,751	10	%
Direct new business	21,906			18,953	16			61,456			58,225	6
Retention	86		%	85	1		pts	84		%	84	—	pts
Renewal pure price increases	6.5			4.8	1.7			6.7			4.9	1.8
Statutory NPE	$	111,711		100,612	11		%	$	327,156		294,927	11	%
Statutory combined ratio	113.1		%	114.5	(1.4	)	pts	111.0		%	108.9	2.1	pts
% of total statutory Standard Commercial Lines NPW	26			24				25			24

The decrease in the statutory combined ratio of 1.4 points in Third Quarter 2017 compared to Third Quarter 2016 was driven by underwriting expenses that were down 2.0 points. This decrease, coupled with lower unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development, was partially offset by an increase in the current year loss costs of 3.4 points. Quantitative information on the prior year development and property losses is as follows:



	Third Quarter 2017				Third Quarter 2016
($ in millions)	Losses Incurred		Impact on Combined Ratio		Losses Incurred		Impact on Combined Ratio		Change in Ratio
Unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development	$	5.0	4.5	pts	$	7.0	7.0	pts	(2.5	)	pts
Catastrophe losses	0.5		0.5		0.4		0.4		0.1
Non-catastrophe property losses	18.5		16.6		16.6		16.5		0.1
Total	24.0		21.6		24.0		23.9		(2.3	)

The year-to-date period also benefited from underwriting expenses that were 1.3 points lower compared to Nine Months 2016; however, this benefit was more than offset by a 4.2-point increase in current year loss reserve estimates. In addition, quantitative information regarding prior year development and property losses is included in the following table:



	Nine Months 2017				Nine Months 2016
($ in millions)	Losses Incurred		Impact on Combined Ratio		Losses Incurred		Impact on Combined Ratio		Change in Ratio
Unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development	$	26.0	7.9	pts	$	20.0	6.8	pts	1.1		pts
Catastrophe losses	1.6		0.5		0.7		0.2		0.3
Non-catastrophe property losses	48.9		14.9		46.4		15.7		(0.8	)
Total	76.5		23.3		67.1		22.7		0.6

The significant drivers of the development were as follows:


•	Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017: Development was primarily due to higher claims frequencies, and some increases in claim severities, in accident years 2015 and 2016.


•	Third Quarter and Nine Months 2016: Development was primarily due to higher severities in the 2013 and 2014 accident years coupled with higher claims frequencies in the 2015 accident year.

The decreases in the statutory underwriting expense ratios in Third Quarter 2017 and Nine Months 2017 compared to the same prior year periods were driven primarily by the growth in premiums earned, which has more than outpaced fixed expenses, coupled with: (i) lower supplemental commissions to our distribution partners; and (ii) a reduction in pension expense.

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Workers Compensation
	Quarter ended September 30,					Change % or Points			Nine Months ended September 30,				Change % or Points
($ in thousands)	2017				2016	Change % or Points			2017			2016	Change % or Points
Statutory NPW	$	80,252			81,646	(2	)	%	$	253,446		252,032	1		%
Direct new business	18,617				17,952	4			52,923			52,763	—
Retention	85			%	85	—		pts	84		%	84	—		pts
Renewal pure price (decreases) increases	(0.4		)		0.9	(1.3	)		0.3			1.3	(1.0	)
Statutory NPE	$	77,580			78,596	(1	)	%	$	236,366		229,847	3		%
Statutory combined ratio	81.3			%	80.2	1.1		pts	85.1		%	82.8	2.3		pts
% of total statutory Standard Commercial Lines NPW	17				18				18			19

The variances in the statutory combined ratio in Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017 compared to the same prior year periods were due primarily to prior year casualty reserve development, as follows:



	Third Quarter 2017						Third Quarter 2016
($ in millions)	(Benefit) Expense			Impact on Combined Ratio			(Benefit) Expense			Impact on Combined Ratio			Change Points
Favorable prior year casualty reserve development	$	(14.0	)	(18.0	)	pts	$	(15.0	)	(19.1	)	pts	1.1	pts


	Nine Months 2017						Nine Months 2016
($ in millions)	(Benefit) Expense			Impact on Combined Ratio			(Benefit) Expense			Impact on Combined Ratio			Change Points
Favorable prior year casualty reserve development	$	(29.3	)	(12.4	)	pts	$	(36.0	)	(15.7	)	pts	3.3	pts

The significant drivers of the development were as follows:


•	Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017: Development was primarily due to lower severities in accident years 2016 and prior, driven in part by an extended period of lower than historical medical inflation.


•	Third Quarter and Nine Months 2016: Development was primarily due to lower severities in accident years 2014 and prior.

For more information regarding the initiatives that we have undertaken regarding this line of business, refer to the Standard Market Workers Compensation Line of Business discussion within the Reserves for Losses and Loss Expenses section of "Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates" of our 2016 Annual Report.



Commercial Property
	Quarter ended September 30,				Change % or Points			Nine Months ended September 30,				Change % or Points
($ in thousands)	2017			2016	Change % or Points			2017			2016	Change % or Points
Statutory NPW	$	84,664		82,695	2		%	$	247,138		237,693	4		%
Direct new business	18,451			18,743	(2	)		55,614			56,892	(2	)
Retention	83		%	82	1		pts	82		%	82	—		pts
Renewal pure price increases	1.4			2.0	(0.6	)		1.7			2.3	(0.6	)
Statutory NPE	$	78,151		74,052	6		%	$	232,594		217,821	7		%
Statutory combined ratio	89.1		%	85.2	3.9		pts	92.1		%	85.0	7.1		pts
% of total statutory Standard Commercial Lines NPW	18			18				17			18

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The increases in the statutory combined ratio in Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017 compared to the same prior year periods were driven by the following:



	Third Quarter 2017				Third Quarter 2016
($ in millions)	(Benefit) Expense		Impact on Combined Ratio		(Benefit) Expense		Impact on Combined Ratio		Change % or Points
Catastrophe losses	$	12.6	16.1	pts	$	3.4	4.5	pts	11.6		pts
Non-catastrophe property losses	24.1		30.9		27.7		37.4		(6.5	)
Total	36.7		47.0		31.1		41.9		5.1


	Nine Months 2017				Nine Months 2016
($ in millions)	(Benefit) Expense		Impact on Combined Ratio		(Benefit) Expense		Impact on Combined Ratio		Change % or Points
Catastrophe losses	$	33.1	14.2	pts	$	16.5	7.6	pts	6.6		pts
Non-catastrophe property losses	82.2		35.3		74.0		34.0		1.3
Total	115.3		49.5		90.5		41.6		7.9

Catastrophe losses related to Hurricanes Irma and Harvey amounted to $6.6 million and $0.5 million, respectively, in Third Quarter 2017. These losses increased the statutory combined ratio for this line of business by 9.1 points in Third Quarter 2017 and 3.0 points in Nine Months 2017.

The variances in non-catastrophe property losses in Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017 compared to the same prior year periods reflect volatility from period to period in fire and weather-related losses that is normally associated with our commercial property line of business.

Standard Personal Lines



	Quarter ended September 30,				Change % or Points			Nine Months ended September 30,				Change % or Points
($ in thousands)	2017			2016	Change % or Points			2017			2016	Change % or Points
GAAP Insurance Operations Results:
NPW	$	81,195		76,225	7		%	$	223,998		213,770	5		%
NPE	72,601			68,690	6			215,474			209,719	3
Less:
Losses and loss expenses incurred	42,120			41,582	1			141,135			123,489	14
Net underwriting expenses incurred	22,302			22,837	(2	)		66,822			67,229	(1	)
Underwriting gain	$	8,179		4,271	92		%	$	7,517		19,001	(60	)	%
GAAP Ratios:
Loss and loss expense ratio	58.0		%	60.5	(2.5	)	pts	65.5		%	58.9	6.6		pts
Underwriting expense ratio	30.7			33.3	(2.6	)		31.0			32.0	(1.0	)
Combined ratio	88.7			93.8	(5.1	)		96.5			90.9	5.6
Statutory Ratios:
Loss and loss expense ratio	58.0			60.7	(2.7	)		65.5			58.9	6.6
Underwriting expense ratio	28.4			31.3	(2.9	)		29.7			31.8	(2.1	)
Combined ratio	86.4		%	92.0	(5.6	)	pts	95.2		%	90.7	4.5		pts

The increases in NPW in Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017 compared to Third Quarter and Nine Months 2016 were due primarily to: (i) an increase in new business; (ii) renewal pure price increases; and (iii) improving retention.



	Quarter ended September 30,				Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in millions)	2017			2016	2017			2016
New business	$	13.6		12.0	$	38.2		29.0
Retention	84		%	83	84		%	82
Renewal pure price increases	3.1			4.7	2.8			5.0

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The NPE increases in Third Quarter and Nine Months 2017 compared to Third Quarter and Nine Months 2016 were consistent with the fluctuations in NPW for the twelve-month period ended September 30, 2017 compared with the twelve-month period ended September 30, 2016.

The GAAP loss and loss expense ratio decreased 2.5 points in Third Quarter 2017 compared to Third Quarter 2016 and increased 6.6 points in Nine Months 2017 compared to Nine Months 2016. Quantitative information on the drivers of this decrease is as follows:



	Third Quarter 2017						Third Quarter 2016
($ in millions)	Losses and Loss Expenses Incurred			Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio			Losses and Loss Expenses Incurred			Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio			Change in Ratio
Non-catastrophe property losses	$	19.1		26.3		pts	$	18.9		27.6		pts	(1.3	)	pts
Catastrophe losses	2.2			3.0			2.5			3.6			(0.6	)
Flood claims handling fees	(2.2		)	(3.1	)		(2.0		)	(2.9	)		(0.2	)
Total	19.1			26.2			19.4			28.3			(2.1	)


	Nine Months 2017						Nine Months 2016
($ in millions)	Losses and Loss Expenses Incurred			Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio			Losses and Loss Expenses Incurred			Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio			Change in Ratio
Catastrophe losses	$	15.4		7.2		pts	$	6.8		3.2		pts	4.0		pts
Unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development	5.0			2.3			—			—			2.3
Flood claims handling fees	(3.6		)	(1.7	)		(4.0		)	(1.9	)		0.2
Non-catastrophe property losses	55.4			25.7			53.6			25.6			0.1
Total	72.2			33.5			56.4			26.9			6.6

Hurricanes Irma and Harvey did not have a significant impact on Personal Lines in Third Quarter 2017, with only $1.0 million in catastrophe losses. WYO flood claims handling fees related to these storms were $1.2 million.

The prior year casualty reserve development in Nine Months 2017 was primarily driven by increased frequency and severity in the personal automobile liability line for accident year 2016.

The GAAP underwriting expense ratio decreased 2.6 points in Third Quarter 2017 compared to Third Quarter 2016 and 1.0 points in Nine Months 2017 compared to Nine Months 2016 driven by targeted actions taken on direct commissions for our homeowners book of business, coupled with the impact of:


•	Cost containment measures related to expenditures for surveys and other underwriting reports;


•	Lower supplemental commissions to our distribution partners; and


•	A reduction in pension expense.

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E&S Insurance Operations



	Quarter ended September 30,						Change % or Points			Nine Months ended September 30,						Change % or Points
($ in thousands)	2017				2016		Change % or Points			2017				2016		Change % or Points
GAAP Insurance Operations Results:
NPW	$	51,031			53,004		(4	)	%	$	158,281			154,887		2		%
NPE	54,204				52,153		4			158,207				151,348		5
Less:
Losses and loss expenses incurred	47,597				36,461		31			113,173				105,209		8
Net underwriting expenses incurred	17,670				18,054		(2	)		53,208				49,604		7
Underwriting loss	$	(11,063	)		(2,362	)	(368	)	%	$	(8,174	)		(3,465	)	(136	)	%
GAAP Ratios:
Loss and loss expense ratio	87.8			%	69.9		17.9		pts	71.6			%	69.5		2.1		pts
Underwriting expense ratio	32.6				34.6		(2.0	)		33.6				32.8		0.8
Combined ratio	120.4				104.5		15.9			105.2				102.3		2.9
Statutory Ratios:
Loss and loss expense ratio	87.8				70.0		17.8			71.6				69.5		2.1
Underwriting expense ratio	32.3				31.4		0.9			33.0				31.4		1.6
Combined ratio	120.1			%	101.4		18.7		pts	104.6			%	100.9		3.7		pts

The highly competitive E&S marketplace is making NPW growth challenging. Quantitative information regarding new business and price increases is as follows:



	Quarter ended September 30,				Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in millions)	2017			2016	2017			2016
Direct new business	$	20.6		24.2	$	69.3		72.1
Overall new/renewal price increases	3.2		%	5.8	5.5		%	4.8

The GAAP loss and loss expense ratio increased 17.9 points in Third Quarter 2017 and 2.1 points in Nine Months 2017 compared to the same prior year periods, driven by: (i) unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development, reflecting higher than expected casualty severities in accident years 2015 and prior; and (ii) higher catastrophe losses driven by $5.3 million of net losses from Hurricane Harvey, which added 9.8 points in Third Quarter 2017 and 3.4 points in Nine Months 2017. Partially offsetting these items was lower non-catastrophe property losses in both the quarter and year-to-date periods. Quantitative information on these drivers is as follows:



	Third Quarter 2017				Third Quarter 2016
($ in millions)	Losses and Loss Expenses Incurred		Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio		Losses and Loss Expenses Incurred		Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio		Change in Ratio
Unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development	$	10.0	18.4	pts	$	—	—	pts	18.4		pts
Catastrophe losses	7.3		13.5		1.7		3.3		10.2
Non-catastrophe property losses	3.7		6.8		7.9		15.2		(8.4	)
Total	21.0		38.7		9.6		18.5		20.2


	Nine Months 2017				Nine Months 2016
($ in millions)	Losses and Loss Expenses Incurred		Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio		Losses and Loss Expenses Incurred		Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio		Change in Ratio
Unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development	$	10.0	6.3	pts	$	3.0	2.0	pts	4.3		pts
Catastrophe losses	11.7		7.4		4.9		3.2		4.2
Non-catastrophe property losses	14.1		8.9		18.8		12.4		(3.5	)
Total	35.8		22.6		26.7		17.6		5.0

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Reinsurance

We have successfully completed negotiations of our July 1, 2017 excess of loss treaties, which provide coverage for our Standard Commercial Lines, Standard Personal Lines, and E&S Lines. The renewal of these treaties included some enhancements in terms and conditions, with the same structure as the expiring treaties as follows:

Property Excess of Loss

The property excess of loss treaty ("Property Treaty") provides $58.0 million of coverage in excess of a $2.0 million retention:


•	The per occurrence cap on the first and second layers is $84.0 million.


•	The first layer has unlimited reinstatements and a limit of $8.0 million in excess of $2.0 million.


•	The annual aggregate limit, for the $30.0 million in excess of $10.0 million second layer, is $120.0 million.


•	A third layer has a limit of $20.0 million in excess of $40.0 million, with an annual aggregate limit of approximately $75.5 million.


•	The Property Treaty excludes nuclear, biological, chemical, and radiological ("NBCR") terrorism losses.

Casualty Excess of Loss

The casualty excess of loss treaty (“Casualty Treaty”) provides $88.0 million of coverage in excess of a $2.0 million retention:


•	The first through sixth layers provide coverage for 100% of up to $88.0 million in excess of a $2.0 million retention.


•	The Casualty Treaty includes a $25.0 million limit, per life, on our workers compensation business, which remains unchanged from the prior treaty.


•	The Casualty Treaty excludes NBCR terrorism losses and has annual aggregate non-NBCR terrorism limits of $208.0 million.

Investments

The primary objective of the investment portfolio is to maximize after-tax income and total return of the portfolio, while maintaining our historic credit quality and duration risk profile. Our investment philosophy includes certain return and risk objectives for the fixed income, equity, and other investment portfolios. After-tax yield and income generation are key drivers to our investment strategy, which we believe will be obtained through more active management of the portfolio.



Total Invested Assets
($ in thousands)	September 30, 2017		December 31, 2016	Change % or Points
Total invested assets	$	5,710,835	5,364,947	6		%
Invested assets per dollar of stockholders' equity	3.36		3.50	(4	)
Unrealized gain – before tax	135,996		64,803	110
Unrealized gain – after tax	88,398		42,122	110

The increase in invested assets at September 30, 2017 compared to December 31, 2016 was primarily driven by operating cash flow of $307.8 million, and an increase in pre-tax unrealized gains of $71.2 million. The $71.2 million change in pre-tax unrealized gains was driven by our fixed income securities portfolio, which was favorably impacted by tightening credit spreads and a decrease in risk-free rates.

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Fixed Income Securities

At September 30, 2017, our fixed income securities portfolio represented 91% of our total invested assets, largely unchanged compared to December 31, 2016. The effective duration and spread duration of the fixed income securities portfolio as of September 30, 2017 was 3.6 years and 4.4 years, respectively, including short-term investments. The Insurance Subsidiaries’ liability duration was approximately 4.0 years. Effective duration provides an approximate measure of the portfolio's price sensitivity to a change in interest rates, while spread duration provides an approximate measure of the portfolio's price sensitivity to spread changes, which are the differences between the yields on particular debt instruments and the yields of U.S. Treasury debt securities with similar maturities. The effective and spread durations of the fixed income securities portfolio are monitored and managed to maximize yield while managing interest rate risk and credit risk, respectively, at an acceptable level. We maintain a well-diversified portfolio across sectors, credit quality, and maturities that affords us ample liquidity. Purchases and sales are made with the intent of maximizing investment returns in the current market environment while balancing capital preservation.

Our fixed income securities portfolio had a weighted average credit rating of “AA-,” with 97% of the securities in the portfolio being investment grade quality at both September 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016. Within our fixed income securities portfolio, we maintained an allocation of non-investment grade high-yield securities, which represented 3% of our fixed income securities portfolio as of both September 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016. The sector composition and credit quality of our major asset categories within our fixed income securities portfolio did not significantly change from December 31, 2016. However, we have recently increased our exposure to floating rate fixed income securities, primarily in our collateralized loan obligations portfolio. Across all asset classes, floating rate securities represented approximately 19% of our fixed income securities portfolio as of September 30, 2017, compared to 13% as of December 31, 2016. The increase in floating rate instruments, which are primarily indexed to the 90-day LIBOR, will increase the sensitivity of changes to our book yield and investment income.

For details regarding the credit quality of our portfolio, see Item 7A. “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.” of our 2016 Annual Report.

Net Investment Income

The components of net investment income earned for the indicated periods were as follows:



	Quarter ended September 30,					Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)	2017			2016		2017		2016
Fixed income securities	$	38,865		32,453		113,424		95,850
Equity securities	1,605			1,506		4,492		5,940
Short-term investments	396			192		1,023		493
Other investments	2,659			1,628		9,493		(49	)
Investment expenses	(3,079		)	(2,404	)	(9,137	)	(6,908	)
Net investment income earned – before tax	40,446			33,375		119,295		95,326
Net investment income tax expense	(10,856		)	(8,462	)	(31,951	)	(23,328	)
Net investment income earned – after tax	$	29,590		24,913		87,344		71,998
Effective tax rate	26.8		%	25.4		26.8		24.5
Annualized after-tax yield on fixed income securities	2.2			2.0		2.2		2.0
Annualized after-tax yield on investment portfolio	2.1			1.9		2.1		1.8

The increase in net investment income in both Third Quarter 2017 and Nine Months 2017 was driven primarily by our fixed income securities portfolio, which benefited from improved new money reinvestment yields and repositioning within the investment grade securities. In addition, income from our alternative investments portfolio increased in both periods due to valuation improvements in the private equity and energy-related sectors.

Realized Gains and Losses

Our general philosophy for sales of securities is to reduce our exposure to securities and sectors based on economic evaluations and when the fundamentals for that security or sector have deteriorated, or to opportunistically trade out of securities to other securities with better economic return characteristics. Net realized gains for the indicated periods were as follows:



	Quarter ended September 30,					Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in thousands)	2017			2016		2017		2016
Net realized gains, excluding OTTI	$	6,871		4,030		12,252		7,233
OTTI	(73		)	(342	)	(4,765	)	(4,484	)
Total net realized gains	$	6,798		3,688		7,487		2,749

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For further discussion of our realized gains and losses, as well as our OTTI methodology, see Note 2. “Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of our 2016 Annual Report. For additional information about our OTTI charges, see Note 4. "Investments" in Item 1. "Financial Statements." of this Form 10-Q.

Federal Income Taxes

The following table provides information regarding federal income taxes:



	Quarter ended September 30,				Nine Months ended September 30,
($ in millions)	2017			2016	2017	2016
Federal income tax expense	$	20.6		16.9	55.2	50.5
Effective tax rate	30.6		%	30.6	28.5	29.8

The effective tax rate in the table above differs from the statutory tax rate of 35% primarily because of tax-advantaged interest and dividend income. The decrease in our effective tax rate in Nine Months 2017 from the same prior year period was driven primarily by our adoption of ASU 2016-09, Compensation - Stock Compensation (Topic 718): Improvements to Employee Share-based Payment Accounting ("ASU 2016-09") on January 1, 2017, which requires that the tax effects of share-based compensation be recognized in the income tax provision as discrete items outside of the annual estimated expected tax rate. Excess tax benefits recognized in the income statement reduced our effective tax rate by 1.8 points in Nine Months 2017, largely driven by first quarter 2017 activity. Previously, these amounts were recorded in additional paid-in capital. For further information on our adoption of ASU 2016-09, refer to Note 2. "Adoption of Accounting Pronouncements" in Item 1. "Financial Statements." of this Form 10-Q.

We believe that our future effective tax rate will continue to be impacted by similar items, assuming no significant changes to tax laws. However, the U.S. federal income tax structure is currently under significant debate and we are unable to provide an estimate of the magnitude of potential changes.

Financial Condition, Liquidity, and Capital Resources

Capital resources and liquidity reflect our ability to generate cash flows from business operations, borrow funds at competitive rates, and raise new capital to meet operating and growth needs.

Liquidity

We manage liquidity with a focus on generating sufficient cash flows to meet the short-term and long-term cash requirements of our business operations. Our cash and short-term investment position of $217 million at September 30, 2017 was comprised of $23 million at the Parent and $194 million at the Insurance Subsidiaries. Short-term investments are generally maintained in "AAA" rated money market funds approved by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners. The Parent maintains a fixed income security investment portfolio containing high-quality, highly-liquid government and corporate fixed income securities. This portfolio amounted to $89 million at September 30, 2017, compared to $74 million at December 31, 2016.

Sources of Liquidity

Sources of cash for the Parent have historically consisted of dividends from the Insurance Subsidiaries, the investment portfolio discussed above, borrowings under lines of credit and loan agreements with certain Insurance Subsidiaries, and the issuance of stock and debt securities. We continue to monitor these sources, giving consideration to our long-term liquidity and capital preservation strategies.

Insurance Subsidiary Dividends

We currently anticipate that the Insurance Subsidiaries will pay $80 million in total dividends to the Parent in 2017, of which $60 million was paid during Nine Months 2017. As of September 30, 2017, our allowable ordinary maximum dividend was $199 million for 2017, which is a $6 million increase from December 31, 2016 due to an Indiana regulation change regarding the calculation of ordinary dividends, which favorably impacted two of our insurance subsidiaries.

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Any dividends to the Parent are subject to the approval and/or review of the insurance regulators in the respective Insurance Subsidiaries' domiciliary states and are generally payable only from earned surplus as reported in the statutory annual statements of those subsidiaries as of the preceding December 31. Although past dividends have historically been met with regulatory approval, there is no assurance that future dividends that may be declared will be approved. For additional information regarding dividend restrictions, refer to Note 19. “Statutory Financial Information, Capital Requirements, and Restrictions on Dividends and Transfers of Funds” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of our 2016 Annual Report.

The Insurance Subsidiaries generate liquidity through insurance float, which is created by collecting premiums and earning investment income before losses are paid. The period of the float can extend over many years. Our investment portfolio consists of maturity dates that continually provide a source of cash flows for claims payments in the ordinary course of business. The effective duration of the fixed income securities portfolio, including short-term investments, was 3.6 years as of September 30, 2017, while the liabilities of the Insurance Subsidiaries have a duration of 4.0 years. As protection for the capital resources of the Insurance Subsidiaries, we purchase reinsurance coverage for significantly large claims or catastrophes that may occur during the year.

Line of Credit

The Parent's line of credit with Wells Fargo Bank, National Association, as administrative agent, and Branch Banking and Trust Company (BB&T) (referred to as our "Line of Credit"), was renewed effective December 1, 2015 with a borrowing capacity of $30 million, which can be increased to $50 million with the approval of both lending partners. This Line of Credit expires on December 1, 2020 and has an interest rate which varies and is based on, among other factors, the Parent's debt ratings. There were no balances outstanding under the Line of Credit at September 30, 2017 or at any time during 2017.

The Line of Credit agreement contains representations, warranties, and covenants that are customary for credit facilities of this type, including, without limitation, financial covenants under which we are obligated to maintain a minimum consolidated net worth, a minimum combined statutory surplus, and a maximum ratio of consolidated debt to total capitalization, as well as covenants limiting our ability to: (i) merge or liquidate; (ii) incur debt or liens; (iii) dispose of assets; (iv) make certain investments and acquisitions; and (v) engage in transactions with affiliates.

The table below outlines information regarding certain of the covenants in the Line of Credit:



	Required as of September 30, 2017	Actual as of September 30, 2017
Consolidated net worth	Not less than $1.1 billion	$1.7 billion
Statutory surplus	Not less than $750 million	$1.7 billion
Debt-to-capitalization ratio¹	Not to exceed 35%	20.7%
A.M. Best Company ("A.M. Best") financial strength rating	Minimum of A-	A


¹	Calculated in accordance with the Line of Credit agreement.

Several of our Insurance Subsidiaries are members of certain branches of the Federal Home Loan Bank, which provides those subsidiaries with additional access to liquidity. Membership is as follows:



Branch	Insurance Subsidiary Member
Federal Home Loan Bank of Indianapolis ("FHLBI")	Selective Insurance Company of South Carolina ("SICSC")¹ Selective Insurance Company of the Southeast ("SICSE")¹
Federal Home Loan Bank of New York ("FHLBNY")	Selective Insurance Company of America ("SICA") Selective Insurance Company of New York ("SICNY")

¹These subsidiaries are jointly referred to as the "Indiana Subsidiaries" as they are domiciled in Indiana.

The Line of Credit permits aggregate borrowings from the FHLBI and the FHLBNY up to 10% of the respective member company’s admitted assets for the previous year end. Additionally, as SICNY is domiciled in New York, this company's borrowings from the FHLBNY are limited to the lower of 5% of admitted assets for the most recently completed fiscal quarter or 10% of admitted assets for the previous year end.

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All borrowings from both the FHLBI and the FHLBNY are required to be secured by investments pledged as collateral. For additional information regarding collateral outstanding, refer to Note 4. "Investments" in Item 1. "Financial Statements." of this Form 10-Q. The following table provides information on the remaining capacity for Federal Home Loan Bank borrowings based on these restrictions, as well as the amount of additional stock that would need to be purchased to allow these member companies to borrow their remaining capacity:



($ in millions)	Admitted Assets		Borrowing Limitation		Amount Borrowed	Remaining Capacity	Additional Stock Requirements
	Admitted Assets		Borrowing Limitation		Amount Borrowed	Remaining Capacity	Additional Stock Requirements
SICSC	$	644.9	$	64.5	32.0	32.5	1.4
SICSE	490.7		49.1		28.0	21.1	0.9
SICA	2,314.2		231.4		50.0	181.4	8.2
SICNY	437.3		21.9		—	21.9	1.0
Total			$	366.9	110.0	256.9	11.5

Short-term Borrowings

In the first quarter of 2017, SICA borrowed $64 million from the FHLBNY, which was repaid on March 21, 2017. For further information regarding this borrowing, see Note 5. "Indebtedness" in Item 1. "Financial Statements." of this Form 10-Q.

Intercompany Loan Agreements

The Parent has lending agreements with the Indiana Subsidiaries that have been approved by the Indiana Department of Insurance, which provide additional liquidity to the Parent. Similar to the Line of Credit agreement, these lending agreements limit borrowings by the Parent from the Indiana Subsidiaries to 10% of the admitted assets of the respective Indiana Subsidiary. The following table provides information on the Parent’s borrowings and remaining borrowing capacity from the Indiana Subsidiaries:



($ in millions)	Admitted Assets as of December 31, 2016		Borrowing Limitation		Amount Borrowed	Remaining Capacity
As of September, 2017	Admitted Assets as of December 31, 2016		Borrowing Limitation		Amount Borrowed	Remaining Capacity
SICSC	$	644.9	$	64.5	27.0	37.5
SICSE	490.7		49.1		18.0	31.1
Total			$	113.6	45.0	68.6

Capital Market Activities

The Parent had no private or public issuances of stock or debt instruments during Nine Months 2017.

Uses of Liquidity

The liquidity generated from the sources discussed above is used, among other things, to pay dividends to our shareholders. Dividends on shares of the Parent's common stock are declared and paid at the discretion of the Board of Directors based on our operating results, financial condition, capital requirements, contractual restrictions, and other relevant factors.

On October 25, 2017, our Board of Directors declared, for stockholders of record as of November 15, 2017, an $0.18 per share dividend to be paid on December 1, 2017. This is a 13% increase compared to the dividend declared on July 26, 2017.

Our ability to meet our interest and principal repayment obligations on our debt, as well as our ability to continue to pay dividends to our stockholders, is dependent on liquidity at the Parent coupled with the ability of the Insurance Subsidiaries to pay dividends, if necessary, and/or the availability of other sources of liquidity to the Parent. Our next principal debt repayment is due in 2021.

Restrictions on the ability of the Insurance Subsidiaries to declare and pay dividends, without alternative liquidity options, could materially affect our ability to service debt and pay dividends on common stock.

Capital Resources

Capital resources provide protection for policyholders, furnish the financial strength to support the business of underwriting insurance risks, and facilitate continued business growth. At September 30, 2017, we had GAAP stockholders' equity and statutory surplus of $1.7 billion. With total debt of $439.0 million, our debt-to-capital ratio was approximately 20.5% at September 30, 2017.

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Our cash requirements include, but are not limited to, principal and interest payments on various notes payable, dividends to stockholders, payment of claims, payment of commitments under limited partnership agreements and capital expenditures, as well as other operating expenses, which include commissions to our distribution partners, labor costs, premium taxes, general and administrative expenses, and income taxes. For further details regarding our cash requirements, refer to the section below entitled, “Contractual Obligations, Contingent Liabilities, and Commitments.”

We continually monitor our cash requirements and the amount of capital resources that we maintain at the holding company and operating subsidiary levels. As part of our long-term capital strategy, we strive to maintain capital metrics, relative to the macroeconomic environment, that support our targeted financial strength. Based on our analysis and market conditions, we may take a variety of actions, including, but not limited to, contributing capital to the Insurance Subsidiaries in our insurance operations, issuing additional debt and/or equity securities, repurchasing shares of the Parent’s common stock, and increasing stockholders’ dividends.

Our capital management strategy is intended to protect the interests of the policyholders of the Insurance Subsidiaries and our stockholders, while enhancing our financial strength and underwriting capacity.

Book value per share increased to $29.10, or 10%, as of September 30, 2017, from $26.42 as of December 31, 2016, due to $2.34 in net income and $0.79 in unrealized gains on our investment portfolio, partially offset by $0.48 in dividends to our shareholders.

Ratings

We are rated by major rating agencies that issue opinions on our financial strength, operating performance, strategic position, and ability to meet policyholder obligations. We believe that our ability to write insurance business is most influenced by our rating from A.M. Best. We have been rated “A” or higher by A.M. Best for the past 87 years. A downgrade from A.M. Best to a rating below “A-” is an event of default under our Line of Credit and could affect our ability to write new business with customers and/or distribution partners, some of whom are required (under various third-party agreements) to maintain insurance with a carrier that maintains a specified A.M. Best minimum rating.

Our ratings have not changed from those reported in our "Ratings" section of Item 7. "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations." in our 2016 Annual Report and continue to be as follows:



NRSRO	Financial Strength Rating	Outlook
A.M. Best	A	Stable
Moody's Investor Services ("Moody's")	A2	Stable
Fitch Ratings ("Fitch")	A+	Stable
Standard & Poor's Global Ratings ("S&P")	A	Stable

In the second quarter of 2017, Fitch reaffirmed our "A+" rating with a "stable" outlook. In taking this action, Fitch cited our strong underwriting results, solid capitalization with growth in stockholders' equity, stable leverage metrics, and stable interest coverage metrics.

In Third Quarter 2017, A.M. Best reaffirmed our "A" rating with a "stable" outlook. In taking this action, A.M. Best cited our strong level of risk-adjusted capitalization, improved operating performance since 2012, and high policy retention rate across our standard lines of business.

On October 20, 2017, S&P reaffirmed our "A" rating with a "stable" outlook. In taking this action, S&P cited our strong capital and earnings, exceptional liquidity, and recognized the strength of our enterprise risk management, management and governance.

Our S&P, Moody's, and Fitch financial strength and associated credit ratings affect our ability to access capital markets. The interest rate on our Line of Credit varies and is based on, among other factors, the Parent's debt ratings. There can be no assurance that our ratings will continue for any given period of time or that they will not be changed. It is possible that positive or negative ratings actions by one or more of the rating agencies may occur in the future.

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Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements

At September 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016, we did not have any material relationships with unconsolidated entities or financial partnerships, such entities often referred to as structured finance or special purpose entities, which would have been established for the purpose of facilitating off-balance sheet arrangements or for other contractually narrow or limited purposes. As such, we are not exposed to any material financing, liquidity, market, or credit risk that could arise if we had engaged in such relationships.

Contractual Obligations, Contingent Liabilities, and Commitments

Our future cash payments associated with: (i) loss and loss expense reserves; (ii) contractual obligations pursuant to operating leases for office space and equipment; and (iii) debt have not materially changed since December 31, 2016. As of September 30, 2017, we had contractual obligations that expire at various dates through 2030 that may require us to invest up to $167 million in alternative and other investments. There is no certainty that any such additional investment will be required. Additionally, as of September 30, 2017, we had contractual obligations that expire in 2023 to invest $17.3 million in a non-publicly traded common stock within our available-for-sale portfolio. We expect to have the capacity to repay and/or refinance these obligations as they come due.

We have issued no material guarantees on behalf of others and have no trading activities involving non-exchange traded contracts accounted for at fair value. For additional details on transactions with related parties, see Note 12. "Related Party Transactions" in Item 1. "Financial Statements." of this Form 10-Q.

ITEM 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK.

There have been no material changes in the information about market risk set forth in our 2016 Annual Report.

ITEM 4. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES.

Our management, with the participation of our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, has evaluated the effectiveness of our disclosure controls and procedures (as such term is defined in Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”)), as of the end of the period covered by this report. In performing this evaluation, management used the criteria set forth by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission in Internal Control – Integrated Framework ("COSO Framework") in 2013. Based on this evaluation, our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer have concluded that, as of the end of such period, our disclosure controls and procedures are: (i) effective in recording, processing, summarizing, and reporting information on a timely basis that we are required to disclose in the reports that we file or submit under the Exchange Act; and (ii) effective in ensuring that information that we are required to disclose in the reports that we file or submit under the Exchange Act is accumulated and communicated to our management, including our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, as appropriate, to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosure. No changes in our internal control over financial reporting (as such term is defined in Rule 13a-15(f) of the Exchange Act) occurred during Nine Months 2017 that materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.

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PART II. OTHER INFORMATION

ITEM 1. LEGAL PROCEEDINGS.

In the ordinary course of conducting business, we are named as defendants in various legal proceedings. Most of these proceedings are claims litigation involving our Insurance Subsidiaries as either: (i) liability insurers defending or providing indemnity for third-party claims brought against our customers; or (ii) insurers defending first-party coverage claims brought against them. We account for such activity through the establishment of unpaid losses and loss expense reserves. We expect that any potential ultimate liability in such ordinary course claims litigation will not be material to our consolidated financial condition, results of operations, or cash flows after consideration of provisions made for potential losses and costs of defense.

From time to time, our insurance subsidiaries also are named as defendants in other legal actions, some of which assert claims for substantial amounts. These actions include, among others, putative class actions seeking certification of a state or national class. Such putative class actions have alleged, for example, improper reimbursement of medical providers paid under workers compensation and personal and commercial automobile insurance policies. Similarly, our Insurance Subsidiaries are also named from time-to-time in individual actions seeking extra-contractual damages, punitive damages, or penalties, some of which allege bad faith in the handling of insurance claims. We believe that we have valid defenses to these cases. We expect that any potential ultimate liability in any such lawsuit will not be material to our consolidated financial condition, after consideration of provisions made for estimated losses. Nonetheless, given the inherent unpredictability of litigation and the large or indeterminate amounts sought in certain of these actions, an adverse outcome in certain matters could possibly have a material adverse effect on our consolidated results of operations or cash flows in particular quarterly or annual periods.

ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS.

Certain risk factors exist that can have a significant impact on our business, liquidity, capital resources, results of operations, financial condition, and debt ratings. These risk factors might affect, alter, or change actions that we might take in executing our long-term capital strategy, including but not limited to, contributing capital to any or all of the Insurance Subsidiaries, issuing additional debt and/or equity securities, repurchasing our equity securities, redeeming our fixed income securities, or increasing or decreasing stockholders' dividends. We operate in a continually changing business environment and new risk factors emerge from time to time. Consequently, we can neither predict such new risk factors nor assess the potential future impact, if any, they might have on our business. There have been no material changes from the risk factors disclosed in Item 1A. “Risk Factors.” in our 2016 Annual Report other than as discussed below.

We face risks regarding our flood business because of uncertainties regarding the NFIP.

We are the fifth largest insurance group participating in the WYO arrangement of the NFIP, which is managed by the Mitigation Division of the Federal Emergency Management Agency (“FEMA”) in the U.S. Department of Homeland Security. For WYO participation, we receive an expense allowance for policies written and a servicing fee for claims administered. Under the program, all losses are 100% reinsured by the Federal Government. Currently, the expense allowance is 30.9% of DPW. The servicing fee is the combination of 0.9% of DPW and 1.5% of incurred losses.

As a WYO carrier, we are required to follow certain NFIP procedures when administering flood policies and claims. Some of these requirements may differ from our normal business practices and may present a reputational risk to our brand. Insurance companies are regulated by states and the NFIP requires WYO carriers to be licensed in the states in which they operate. The NFIP, however, is a federal program and WYO carriers are fiscal agents of the U.S. Government and must follow the directives of the NFIP. Consequently, we have the risk that directives of the NFIP and a state regulator on the same issue may conflict.

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There has been significant public policy and political debate regarding the NFIP and its outstanding debt, including the obtainment of reinsurance coverage for NFIP losses. In 2016, FEMA secured its first placement of reinsurance for the NFIP. In January 2017, FEMA expanded its September 2016 placement and transferred $1 billion of the NFIP's financial risk to reinsurers through January 1, 2018. Prior to Hurricanes Harvey, Irma, and Maria in Third Quarter 2017, the NFIP had accumulated debt totaling approximately $25 billion. The NFIP's maximum borrowing authority is $30 billion. Losses from the recent storms are estimated to total approximately $16 billion. Congress is considering an aid package that would include $16 billion of debt forgiveness, allowing the NFIP to continue paying storm-related claims. In addition, there are several legislative proposals in Congress regarding NFIP reauthorization. Following a brief extension, the NFIP statute will expire on December 8, 2017, unless reauthorized by Congress. While it is possible that the NFIP program will be reauthorized with limited changes to the underlying structure, there is substantial uncertainty about the future of the program given the changing political environment. Our flood business could be impacted by: (i) any mandate for primary insurance carriers to provide flood insurance; or (ii) private writers becoming more prevalent in the marketplace. The uncertainty created by the public policy debate and politics of flood insurance reform make it difficult for us to predict the future of the NFIP and our continued participation in the program.

ITEM 2. UNREGISTERED SALES OF EQUITY SECURITIES AND USE OF PROCEEDS.

The following table provides information regarding our purchases of our common stock in Third Quarter 2017:



Period	Total Number of Shares Purchased¹	Average Price Paid per Share		Total Number of Shares Purchased as Part of Publicly Announced Programs	Maximum Number of Shares that May Yet Be Purchased Under the Announced Programs
July 1 – 31, 2017	1,102	$	51.44	—	—
August 1 - 31, 2017	—	—		—	—
September 1 - 30, 2017	—	—		—	—
Total	1,102	$	51.44	—	—

¹During Third Quarter 2017, 1,102 shares were purchased from employees in connection with the vesting of restricted stock units. These repurchases were made to satisfy tax withholding obligations with respect to those employees. These shares were not purchased as part of any publicly announced program. The shares that were purchased in connection with the vesting of restricted stock units were purchased at fair market value as defined in the Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan.

ITEM 6. EXHIBITS.



Exhibit No.
* 11		Statement Re: Computation of Per Share Earnings.
* 31.1		Certification of Chief Executive Officer in accordance with Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
* 31.2		Certification of Chief Financial Officer in accordance with Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
* 32.1		Certification of Chief Executive Officer in accordance with Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
* 32.2		Certification of Chief Financial Officer in accordance with Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
** 101.INS		XBRL Instance Document.
** 101.SCH		XBRL Taxonomy Extension Schema Document.
** 101.CAL		XBRL Taxonomy Extension Calculation Linkbase Document.
** 101.LAB		XBRL Taxonomy Extension Label Linkbase Document.
** 101.PRE		XBRL Taxonomy Extension Presentation Linkbase Document.
** 101.DEF		XBRL Taxonomy Extension Definition Linkbase Document.

* Filed herewith.

** Furnished and not filed herewith.

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SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this Report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.

Registrant



By: /s/ Gregory E. Murphy	October 26, 2017
Gregory E. Murphy
Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

By: /s/ Mark A. Wilcox	October 26, 2017
Mark A. Wilcox
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
(principal financial officer)

Selective Insurance - 10-Q quarterly report FY2017 Q3

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